EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50%
Copa del Rey · Round of 128 Match Finished · 90'

Arosa
vs
Pontevedra.

Quick answer

Who will win Arosa vs Pontevedra?

Final score: Arosa 2–0 Pontevedra. Before kickoff, 9 of 10 AI models pick Pontevedra to win (90%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 0–2.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Arosa form Pontevedra form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Pontevedra (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 0–2 at 52% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Arosa win 10%

1 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Pontevedra win 90%

9 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Pontevedra win
0–2
65%
Pontevedra appear the stronger side on overall club level, while Arosa's home advantage may limit the margin in this cup tie. With no current form or H2H data supplied, a controlled away win is the clearest estimate.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Arosa win
1–0
40%
Copa del Rey early round, regional derby-like tie; thin data so a tight, low-scoring home edge is the most defensible pick.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Pontevedra win
0–2
62%
Pontevedra holds a clear divisional and squad quality advantage over regional rivals Arosa, likely securing a controlled away victory.
04
Grok 4.7
Pontevedra win
0–1
38%
No H2H or form given. Pontevedra usually a level above Arosa; early Copa del Rey at a smaller home often stays tight and low-scoring.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Pontevedra win
0–2
62%
Pontevedra's higher division quality and sharper attack should control a Copa del Rey tie against lower-tier Arosa, even away from home.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Pontevedra win
0–1
38%
Pontevedra typically competes at a higher level than Arosa; early Copa del Rey rounds between mismatched Galician sides often produce narrow, low-scoring away wins.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Pontevedra win
0–1
58%
Pontevedra historically stronger in Copa del Rey; Arosa lower-tier, home edge offset by class difference.
08
Kimi K3
Pontevedra win
1–2
58%
Copa del Rey Round of 128 typically features lower-division hosts against stronger visitors; Pontevedra's superior league status and cup experience should prevail despite Arosa's home advantage in a competitive fixture.
09
GLM 5.3
Pontevedra win
0–2
52%
Pontevedra play two tiers higher than regional-side Arosa; class gap should tell despite the away trip, though cup upsets and thin data keep confidence modest.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Pontevedra win
0–1
42%
Pontevedra, a Segunda RFEF side, faces Arosa one tier lower; away quality edge, but Copa del Rey upsets and no H2H data keep this a modest, low-scoring lean.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

4 of 10 models settled on 0–2. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 0–2
    4 models
  • 0–1
    4 models
  • 1–0
    1 model
  • 1–2
    1 model

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 4.75 / 3.50 / 1.75
Arosa Market 20% · AI 10%
Draw Market 26% · AI 0%
Pontevedra Market 54% · AI 90%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Season data

Copa del Rey numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Top scorers · Copa del Rey

  1. 1 Alemão Rayo Vallecano 2
  2. 2 T. Vizcay Athletic Club 1
  3. 3 S. Sanchez Athletic Club 1
  4. 4 C. Mitogo Athletic Club 1
  5. 5 Gabriel Moscardo Espanyol 1
New at Arosa H. Torres (Deportivo La Coruña II), Y. Crespo (UD Ourense)
New at Pontevedra L. Macias (Deportivo La Coruña II), P. Gaye (Ittihad Tanger), B. Omoregbe (Torreense)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Pontevedra

90% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 52% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.20 vs 1.40

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Arosa win · AI Pontevedra win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Arosa
—
Last 5
W L W D D
8 GF · 4 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Pontevedra 2-0 W
  • Sestao River 1-0 L
  • Llanera 4-1 W
  • Bergantiños 2-2 D
  • Ourense CF 0-0 D
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Pontevedra
—
Last 5
L W W L L
4 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Arosa 2-0 L
  • Cultural Leonesa 1-2 W
  • Cacereño 1-0 W
  • Mérida AD 1-2 L
  • Racing Ferrol 2-0 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

ARO 1 · D 1 · PON 1

ARO VS PON
3-1
HOME WIN
Aug 1, 2026
ARO VS PON
1-1
DRAW
Apr 17, 2022
PON VS ARO
1-0
HOME WIN
Nov 28, 2021

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 10% of models side with Arosa, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Copa del Rey games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Arosa
~10%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Pontevedra
~90%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.60 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 1.9 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Arosa is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.60 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Pontevedra win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Arosa vs Pontevedra in Copa del Rey? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (0 - 2; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Pontevedra win, with vote shares roughly 10% / 0% / 90% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Arosa vs Pontevedra, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.