CLU 1-2 SAN · 50% BEş 2-1 BAş · 54% RIZ 0-2 TRA · 57% FCC 2-0 ODE · 63% GAL 2-1 FEN · 48% SAN 1-2 BEN · 55% PAR 2-1 LYO · 48% SEV 1-0 OSA · 48% UNI 0-1 EST · 48% COR 1-1 GRE · 42% FLA 2-0 ATL · 60% INS 1-0 DEP · 55% ABH 1-1 AL- · 41% VFL 1-2 FSV · 54% CLU 1-2 SAN · 50% BEş 2-1 BAş · 54% RIZ 0-2 TRA · 57% FCC 2-0 ODE · 63% GAL 2-1 FEN · 48% SAN 1-2 BEN · 55% PAR 2-1 LYO · 48% SEV 1-0 OSA · 48% UNI 0-1 EST · 48% COR 1-1 GRE · 42% FLA 2-0 ATL · 60% INS 1-0 DEP · 55% ABH 1-1 AL- · 41% VFL 1-2 FSV · 54%
Starligue · Week 3 Sep 11, 2026 · 18:30 Finished

Toulouse
vs
Caen.

Quick answer

Who will win Toulouse vs Caen?

Final score: Toulouse 31–32 Caen. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Toulouse to win (100%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 29–26.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 81% of the time (31 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Toulouse (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 29–26 at 62% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Toulouse win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Caen win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Toulouse win
31–28
57%
Toulouse’s home venue and established Starligue profile give them a narrow edge over Caen in this early-season meeting. With no usable H2H scores or form data, a moderately high-scoring three-goal home win is the best estimate.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Toulouse win
29–26
56%
Toulouse typically hold a solid home edge in Starligue early rounds; Caen often struggles on the road against mid-table French sides.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Toulouse win
32–26
72%
Toulouse boasts significant quality and depth advantages in Starligue, especially on home court against an inferior Caen squad.
04
Grok 4.6
Toulouse win
31–28
52%
Week 2 Starligue: Toulouse is the established home side versus Caen. Venue edge should decide a typical mid-scoring game; early-season form is thin.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Toulouse win
30–27
54%
Toulouse's home advantage and top-flight rhythm should edge a Caen side likely to stay close before fading late.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Toulouse win
31–27
58%
Toulouse at home in Starligue Week 2 with venue advantage; Caen typically concedes more on the road. Moderate confidence due to limited form data available.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Toulouse win
28–26
55%
Home edge in Week 2; typical Starligue scoring range.
08
Kimi K3
Toulouse win
31–27
58%
Week 2 context is thin, but Toulouse’s home edge and deeper Starligue profile favor them over Caen; expect a controlled four-goal home win around a 58-goal total.
09
GLM 5.3
Toulouse win
29–26
52%
Toulouse host newly promoted Caen in Week 2; home venue and top-flight experience edge a moderate-scoring Starligue contest.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Toulouse win
29–26
55%
Toulouse's home venue in Starligue Week 2 suggests an edge; Caen's early-season form unclear, supporting a close game.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

3 of 10 models settled on 29–26. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 29–26
    3 models
  • 31–28
    2 models
  • 31–27
    2 models
  • 28–26
    1 model
  • 30–27
    1 model
  • 32–26
    1 model
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Toulouse

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 62% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 30.10 vs 26.70

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Toulouse vs Caen in Starligue? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (29 - 26; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Toulouse win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Toulouse vs Caen, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.