ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
Serie A · Regular Season - 9 Oct 18, 2026 · 10:30 · UTC Bluenergy Stadium, Udine Match Finished · 90'

Udinese
vs
Lecce.

Quick answer

Who will win Udinese vs Lecce?

Final score: Udinese 0–3 Lecce. Before kickoff, 11 of 12 AI models pick Udinese to win (92%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 1–0.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Udinese form Lecce form

12 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Udinese (11 of 12 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–0 at 44% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Serie A table Where Udinese and Lecce stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Udinese win 92%

11 / 12 models

Draw 8%

1 / 12 models

Lecce win 0%

0 / 12 models

— Model breakdown

12 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Draw
1–1
60%
Both teams have had close encounters historically; Udinese's home advantage balances Lecce's recent win, suggesting a balanced match.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Udinese win
2–1
52%
Udinese at home has historically edged this fixture and Lecce often struggles away against mid-table sides; expect a tight, competitive match.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Udinese win
1–0
60%
Udinese have a solid home record against Lecce, including a recent 1-0 win at this venue. Lecce often struggle to score on the road in Serie A, making a narrow home victory likely.
04
Grok 4.6
Udinese win
1–0
42%
Udinese hold home advantage in a typically tight Serie A fixture against Lecce.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Udinese win
1–0
60%
Udinese's strong home form and defensive solidity likely edge a tight Serie A contest.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Udinese win
2–1
60%
Udinese's home advantage and recent form suggest a narrow win, with Lecce likely to score given their attacking capabilities.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Udinese win
2–1
62%
Udinese’s home form and recent H2H edge suggest a narrow win; Lecce’s away struggles limit their threat.
08
Kimi K3
Udinese win
1–0
48%
Udinese's home advantage at Bluenergy Stadium and Lecce's typically weak away attack suggest a low-scoring home win, though thin recent form data keeps confidence modest.
09
GLM 5.3
Udinese win
1–0
48%
Udinese typically strong at Bluenergy Stadium against lower-table sides; Lecce often struggles to score away. Thin context, so modest confidence on a narrow home win.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Udinese win
2–1
55%
Udinese strong at home in H2H, winning four of last five; Lecce scores but likely falls short in a tight game.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 12 models settled on 1–0. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–0
    6 models
  • 2–1
    5 models
  • 1–1
    1 model
Team news

Confirmed lineups: Udinese vs Lecce

Udinese

3-4-2-1
K. Runjaic
9 K. Davis
9 Davis
30 G. Chakvetadze
30 Chakvetadze
32 J. Ekkelenkamp
32 Ekkelenkamp
11 H. Kamara
11 Kamara
6 Oier Zarraga
6 Zarraga
8 J. Karlström
8 Karlström
23 M. Vojvoda
23 Vojvoda
77 E. Ebosse
77 Ebosse
5 D. Alaba
5 Alaba
28 O. Solet
28 Solet
40 M. Okoye
40 Okoye

Bench: G. Vinciati, N. Bertola, J. Abankwah, J. Piotrowski, A. Zanoli, J. Arizala, Unai Gómez, L. Jovanović, C. Kabasele, S. Lovrić, L. Miller, B. Mrozek, D. Padelli, M. Palma

Lecce

4-3-3
E. Di Francesco
7 A. Ahmed Fatah
7 Fatah
69 W. Geubbels
69 Geubbels
11 K. N’Dri
11 N’Dri
14 Y. Maleh
14 Maleh
79 O. Ngom
79 Ngom
29 L. Coulibaly
29 Coulibaly
25 A. Gallo
25 Gallo
44 Tiago Gabriel
44 Gabriel
4 Kialonda Gaspar
4 Gaspar
17 Danilo Veiga
17 Veiga
30 W. Falcone
30 Falcone

Bench: Paco Esteban, S. Fofana, O. Gandelman, Olaf Gorter, G. Jean, M. Kaba, Joël Monteiro, C. Ndaba, S. Pierotti, E. Scott, J. Siebert, N. Štulić, A. Borbei, M. Bleve, A. Dembélé

Season data

Serie A numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Udinese

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
1-2-6
Goals
9-18
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
4
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Lecce

4-3-3
W-D-L
3-0-6
Goals
10-19
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
4
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Udinese

  • J. Ekkelenkamp 3 G · 1 A · 9 apps

Key players · Lecce

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Top scorers · Serie A

  1. 1 Gustavo Varela Monza 8
  2. 2 D. Malen AS Roma 7
  3. 3 A. Raimondo Frosinone 7
  4. 4 N. Krstović Atalanta 6
  5. 5 M. Thuram Inter 5
Venue Bluenergy Stadium, Udine
Referee Marco Guida
New at Udinese D. Alaba (Real Madrid), L. Jovanović (VfB Stuttgart), B. Mrozek (Lech Poznan)
New at Lecce Joël Monteiro (BSC Young Boys), A. Dembélé (Torino), I. Ilić (Torino)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Udinese

92% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Low confidence

Mean 44% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.40 vs 0.50

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Udinese Lecce Expected total Lean Actual
Corners 4.8 4.2 8.9 Over 8.5 54% 5 miss Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.9 2.0 3.8 Over 3.5 54% 1 miss Ask AI
Shots 11.4 10.1 21.5 Under 21.5 51% 31 miss Ask AI
Shots on target 3.7 3.0 6.7 Over 6.5 50% 13 hit Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 249 graded matches, cards 58% of 250. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

Result check

Actual Lecce win · AI Udinese win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Udinese
#17 · 4 PTS · GD -9
Last 5
D L L L D
2 GF · 8 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Parma 0-0 D
  • AC Milan 0-2 L
  • Lecce 0-3 L
  • Torino 2-1 L
  • Pogon Szczecin 1-1 D
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Lecce
#12 · 9 PTS · GD -5
Last 5
L L W L L
5 GF · 12 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Frosinone 5-1 L
  • Juventus 0-2 L
  • Udinese 0-3 W
  • Bologna 1-2 L
  • AC Milan 3-0 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

UDI 3 · D 0 · LEC 2

UDI VS LEC
0-3
AWAY WIN
Oct 18, 2026
LEC VS UDI
2-1
HOME WIN
Feb 8, 2026
UDI VS LEC
3-2
HOME WIN
Oct 25, 2025
LEC VS UDI
0-1
AWAY WIN
Feb 21, 2025
UDI VS LEC
1-0
HOME WIN
Oct 5, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 92% of models side with Udinese, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 8% — tight Serie A games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Udinese
~92%
implied lean
Draw
~8%
implied lean
Lecce
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.90 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.2 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Udinese is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.90 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Udinese win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Udinese vs Lecce in Serie A? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 0; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Udinese win, with vote shares roughly 92% / 8% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Udinese vs Lecce, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

Related matches

— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.