ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 48% KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 48% KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
Championship · Regular Season - 13 Oct 31, 2026 · 15:00 · UTC Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea Not Started

Swansea
vs
Blackburn.

Quick answer

Who will win Swansea vs Blackburn?

9 of 10 AI models pick Swansea to win (90%). The mean predicted score is 2–1 at 51% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Swansea form Blackburn form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Swansea (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 51% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Championship table Where Swansea and Blackburn stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Swansea win 90%

9 / 10 models

Draw 10%

1 / 10 models

Blackburn win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Swansea win
2–1
55%
Swansea's 7-2-3 record, home advantage and three recent wins over Blackburn support a narrow home edge, though Blackburn's stronger scoring record and Guðjohnsen's form make 2-1 more plausible than a clean sheet.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Swansea win
2–1
48%
Swansea's better recent form and home record dominate H2H, but Blackburn's Guðjohnsen gives them scoring threat in a likely tight, open contest.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
48%
Swansea have lost two straight, while Blackburn are consistent scorers via Guðjohnsen. Swansea's strong home record against Rovers balances Blackburn's sharper current form.
04
Grok 4.7
Swansea win
2–1
50%
Swansea’s stronger league record and four wins in the last five H2H, including 3-1 and 3-0 at home, outweigh mixed recent form versus Blackburn’s attack.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Swansea win
2–1
49%
Swansea's strong home form and 4-1 H2H edge at this venue outweigh Blackburn's recent dip; Blackburn's attack should still score.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Swansea win
2–1
52%
Swansea dominate this H2H at home (3-1, 3-0, 2-1 recently), but their last-two losses and Blackburn's attacking form (Guðjohnsen 8 goals) keep this tight.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Swansea win
2–1
52%
Swansea won 4 of last 5 H2H scoring 2+ each time; Blackburn score consistently via Gudjohnsen but depleted by suspensions and injuries.
08
Kimi K3
Swansea win
2–1
58%
Swansea's dominant H2H record (three straight wins) and home venue edge outweigh Blackburn's slightly better attack; both teams score regularly but concede, making a narrow home win likelier than a draw.
09
GLM 5.3
Swansea win
2–1
52%
Swansea's superior form (7W in 12) and three straight home H2H wins over Blackburn justify home favouritism, though Blackburn's Guðjohnsen (8 goals) and low fail-to-score rate keep it tight.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Swansea win
2–1
42%
Swansea's home edge and strong H2H versus Blackburn (3-1, 3-0 recently) offset Blackburn's better scoring form; Guðjohnsen keeps it close but Swansea's defence holds.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

9 of 10 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    9 models
  • 1–1
    1 model

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.80 / 3.40 / 4.50
Swansea Market 52% · AI 91%
Draw Market 27% · AI 9%
Blackburn Market 21% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 11 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Predicted lineups: Swansea vs Blackburn

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

Swansea

4-3-3 · XI v QPR, 24 Oct
Vítor Matos
30 Joseph Okopu
30 Okopu
33 A. Idah
33 Idah
7 M. Widell
7 Widell
46 S. Eustáquio
46 Eustáquio
6 M. Stamenić
6 Stamenić
8 E. Just
8 Just
14 J. Tymon
14 Tymon
23 S. Welsh
23 Welsh
5 B. Cabango
5 Cabango
26 F. Lissah
26 Lissah
22 L. Vigouroux
22 Vigouroux

Blackburn

4-2-3-1 · XI v Wrexham, 24 Oct
Tony Mowbray
9 A. Guðjohnsen
9 Guðjohnsen
21 O. Afolayan
21 Afolayan
10 T. Cantwell
10 Cantwell
11 J. Fevrier
11 Fevrier
24 M. Baradji
24 Baradji
Out
8 Sam Morsy
8 Morsy
3 H. Pickering
3 Pickering
15 S. McLoughlin
15 McLoughlin
17 H. Carter
17 Carter
2 R. Alebiosu
2 Alebiosu
22 B. Tóth
22 Tóth

1 of this XI is ruled out of this match or no longer at the club.

Season data

Championship numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Swansea

4-3-3
W-D-L
7-2-3
Goals
16-13
Clean sheets
5
Failed to score
4
Best win run
4
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Blackburn

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
5-3-4
Goals
19-16
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
1
Best win run
2
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Swansea

  • A. Idah 4 G · 1 A · 11 apps

Key players · Blackburn

  • A. Guðjohnsen 8 G · 1 A · 11 apps
  • O. Afolayan 4 G · 2 A · 12 apps

Top scorers · Championship

  1. 1 W. Lankshear Middlesbrough 11
  2. 2 A. Guðjohnsen Blackburn 8
  3. 3 C. Larin Southampton 7
  4. 4 J. Bowen West Ham 6
  5. 5 J. Moylan Cardiff 6
Venue Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Referee Gavin Ward
New at Swansea J. Monga (Manchester City), Tom Iorpenda (Huddersfield), J. Seelt (Sunderland)
New at Blackburn Gady Beyuku (Modena), J. Fevrier (Stockport County), M. Baradji (Yverdon Sport)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Swansea

90% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 51% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.90 vs 1.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Swansea Blackburn Expected total Lean
Corners 5.4 5.9 11.2 Under 11.5 55% Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.9 2.3 4.2 Under 4.5 59% Ask AI
Shots 13.2 11.7 24.9 Over 24.5 52% Ask AI
Shots on target 4.1 4.0 8.0 Under 8.5 59% Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 249 graded matches, cards 58% of 250. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Swansea
#2 · 23 PTS · GD +3
Last 5
L L W W W
5 GF · 8 GA
Recent fixtures
  • QPR 5-0 L
  • West Ham 0-1 L
  • Millwall 0-1 W
  • Norwich 2-1 W
  • Lincoln 1-2 W
Team news
C. Burgess — Achilles Tendon Injury J. Key — Muscle Injury Ronald — Hamstring Injury
Blackburn
#10 · 18 PTS · GD +3
Last 5
W L W W D
9 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Wrexham 2-0 W
  • West Brom 3-2 L
  • Bristol City 0-1 W
  • Cardiff 2-1 W
  • Portsmouth 2-2 D
Team news
A. Forshaw — Hip Injury M. Litherland — Muscle Injury L. Miller — Achilles Tendon Injury S. Morsy — Yellow Cards Y. Ohashi — Hamstring Injury Y. Ribeiro — Hamstring Injury R. Morishita — Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

SWA 4 · D 0 · BLA 1

SWA VS BLA
3-1
HOME WIN
Jan 20, 2026
BLA VS SWA
1-2
AWAY WIN
Sep 30, 2025
SWA VS BLA
3-0
HOME WIN
Feb 22, 2025
BLA VS SWA
1-0
HOME WIN
Oct 19, 2024
SWA VS BLA
2-1
HOME WIN
Mar 2, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 90% of models side with Swansea, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 10% — tight Championship games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Swansea
~90%
implied lean
Draw
~10%
implied lean
Blackburn
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.90 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3.2 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Swansea is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.90 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Swansea win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Swansea vs Blackburn in Championship? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Swansea win, with vote shares roughly 90% / 10% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Swansea vs Blackburn, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.