GEN 0-1 ALA · 43% SAS 2-1 FIO · 45% GAI 1-1 AIK · 42% MJA 1-0 KAL · 46% SON 0-2 FCC · 60% LOR 1-1 STA · 43% ATA 2-0 PAR · 59% NEW 2-1 EVE · 46% DEP 1-1 OSA · 41% BEN 3-1 ALV · 63% GIL 1-0 VIT · 44% DEP 2-1 A.I · 50% ÁGU 1-1 FOR · 42% DEF 1-0 IND · 45% GEN 0-1 ALA · 43% SAS 2-1 FIO · 45% GAI 1-1 AIK · 42% MJA 1-0 KAL · 46% SON 0-2 FCC · 60% LOR 1-1 STA · 43% ATA 2-0 PAR · 59% NEW 2-1 EVE · 46% DEP 1-1 OSA · 41% BEN 3-1 ALV · 63% GIL 1-0 VIT · 44% DEP 2-1 A.I · 50% ÁGU 1-1 FOR · 42% DEF 1-0 IND · 45%
Copa Do Brasil · Semi-finals Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo Match Finished · 90'

Palmeiras
vs
Vasco DA Gama.

Quick answer

Who will win Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?

Final score: Palmeiras 1–0 Vasco DA Gama. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Palmeiras to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 2–0.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Palmeiras form Vasco DA Gama form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (848 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Palmeiras (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–0 at 52% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Palmeiras win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Vasco DA Gama win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Palmeiras win
1–0
48%
Palmeiras have home advantage in São Paulo and have scored 15 goals in six cup matches, while Vasco are unbeaten with four clean sheets. Their recent 4-1 meeting favors Palmeiras, but Vasco’s defensive record points to a tight semi-final.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Palmeiras win
2–0
40%
Palmeiras score freely in this Copa do Brasil (15-4, 4 clean sheets) and won the last three home meetings against Vasco. Vasco are solid defensively (10-3), so a controlled home win is likely.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Palmeiras win
2–0
62%
Palmeiras boast superior attacking power and defensive stability at home, having dominated recent home meetings with Vasco.
04
Grok 4.7
Palmeiras win
2–0
52%
Palmeiras dominate recent home H2H and outscore Vasco in the cup, with four clean sheets each. Semi-final caution and Vasco's unbeaten run favor a narrow home win, not a rout.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Palmeiras win
2–0
58%
Palmeiras have strong home form and a dominant 4-1 H2H win in August; Vasco are unbeaten but often low-scoring away. A controlled 2-0 fits Palmeiras' solid defense and Vasco's modest away output.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Palmeiras win
2–0
40%
Palmeiras dominant at home in H2H (4-1, 3-0 recent), strong attack and 4 clean sheets; Vasco's solid defense may limit them but Palmeiras' quality should prevail in a controlled semi-final.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Palmeiras win
2–0
56%
Palmeiras dominant at Nubank Parque with 4-1 and 3-0 recent H2H wins; cup form 15-4 with 4 clean sheets outweighs unbeaten Vasco.
08
Kimi K3
Palmeiras win
2–1
58%
Palmeiras dominate H2H (3 wins in last 5, including 4-1 and 3-0) and hold home advantage for this semi-final. Vasco's unbeaten cup run and 27% late goals suggest they score, but Palmeiras' superior attack (15 goals) should edge an open game.
09
GLM 5.3
Palmeiras win
2–0
58%
Palmeiras dominant at Nubank Parque (recent 4-1 H2H win), 15 goals scored and 4 clean sheets in the cup; Vasco's unbeaten away form keeps this modest, but home quality should prevail.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Palmeiras win
2–1
52%
Palmeiras unbeaten in four at home versus Vasco, including 4-1 in August, and stronger Copa scoring (15 goals). Vasco's late goals threat keeps this close at Nubank Parque.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

7 of 10 models settled on 2–0. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–0
    7 models
  • 2–1
    2 models
  • 1–0
    1 model

Live match centre

38'
Palmeiras
Maurício Magalhães Prado 24'
1–0
Vasco DA Gama
Pro

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.65 / 3.80 / 5.75
Palmeiras Market 58% · AI 100%
Draw Market 25% · AI 0%
Vasco DA Gama Market 17% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama

Palmeiras

3-4-2-1
Abel Ferreira
42 J. López
42 López
11 J. Arias
11 Arias
18 Maurício
18 Maurício
22 J. Piquerez
22 Piquerez
30 Lucas Evangelista
30 Evangelista
17 Marlon Freitas
17 Freitas
4 A. Giay
4 Giay
2 A. Barboza
2 Barboza
15 G. Gómez
15 Gómez
26 Murilo
26 Murilo
1 Carlos Miguel
1 Miguel

Bench: Bruno Fuchs, Andreas Pereira, Marcelo Lomba, Erick Machado, E. Martínez, Luis Felipe, Benedetti, Vitor Roque, Arthur, Khellven, Larson, Felipe Anderson

Vasco DA Gama

4-1-4-1
Pedro Emanuel
19 Bruno Duarte
19 Duarte
9 F. Colidio
9 Colidio
23 Thiago Mendes
23 Mendes
22 A. Lescano
22 Lescano
28 Adson
28 Adson
5 S. Sosa
5 Sosa
6 Lucas Piton
6 Piton
30 Robert Renan
30 Renan
4 A. Saldivia
4 Saldivia
96 Paulo Henrique
96 Henrique
1 Léo Jardim
1 Jardim

Bench: Cuiabano, Ramon Rique, J. Rodríguez, Jair, Nuno Moreira, Gabriel Pereira, M. Hinestroza, David, Daniel Fuzato, Brenner, Tchê Tchê, Lucas Freitas

Season data

Copa Do Brasil numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Palmeiras

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
4-1-1
Goals
15-4
Clean sheets
4
Failed to score
1
Best win run
3
Penalties
3/3
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Vasco DA Gama

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
4-2-0
Goals
10-3
Clean sheets
4
Failed to score
1
Best win run
1
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Palmeiras

  • J. López 4 G · 0 A · 5 apps
  • Felipe Anderson 1 G · 3 A · 6 apps
  • R. Sosa 2 G · 1 A · 3 apps

Key players · Vasco DA Gama

  • A. Gómez 2 G · 2 A · 6 apps
  • J. Rodríguez 2 G · 0 A · 6 apps
  • C. Spinelli 2 G · 0 A · 5 apps

Top scorers · Copa Do Brasil

  1. 1 J. López Palmeiras 4
  2. 2 A. Bernabéi Internacional 3
  3. 3 Rene Vitoria 3
  4. 4 Erick Vitoria 3
  5. 5 Carlos Vinícius Gremio 3
Venue Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo
Referee Anderson Daronco
New at Palmeiras Bruno (Portuguesa), Sorriso (Avai), A. Barboza (Botafogo)
New at Vasco DA Gama Gabriel Pereira (FC Copenhagen), A. Lescano (Argentinos JRS), Bruno Duarte (FK Crvena Zvezda)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Palmeiras

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 52% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.90 vs 0.20

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Palmeiras win · AI Palmeiras win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Palmeiras
—
Last 5
W D W L W
5 GF · 1 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Vasco DA Gama 1-0 W
  • Santos 0-0 D
  • RB Bragantino 2-0 W
  • Fluminense 0-1 L
  • Atletico Paranaense 0-2 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Vasco DA Gama
—
Last 5
L L W L L
5 GF · 11 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Palmeiras 1-0 L
  • Flamengo 1-4 L
  • Corinthians 3-2 W
  • Boca Juniors 1-3 L
  • Sao Paulo 1-0 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

PAL 4 · D 0 · VAS 1

PAL VS VAS
4-1
HOME WIN
Aug 23, 2026
VAS VS PAL
2-1
HOME WIN
Mar 12, 2026
PAL VS VAS
3-0
HOME WIN
Oct 1, 2025
VAS VS PAL
0-1
AWAY WIN
May 4, 2025
VAS VS PAL
0-1
AWAY WIN
Sep 22, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Palmeiras, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Copa Do Brasil games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Palmeiras
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Vasco DA Gama
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.10 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.4 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Palmeiras is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.10 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Palmeiras win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama in Copa Do Brasil? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 0; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Palmeiras win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.