VFL 1-2 FSV · 54% SGS 0-2 FCA · 61% HAM 1-2 EIN · 45% ROT 0-2 RBL · 62% SAS 0-2 LAZ · 62% CUA 0-2 GIR · 65% AIK 0-1 IFE · 48% CAL 1-0 EUR · 47% PIN 0-2 ELC · 58% SES 0-2 ESP · 61% CAS 0-2 ALM · 63% ATL 0-2 MIR · 58% CIU 0-1 RAY · 51% GIM 0-1 CUL · 49% VFL 1-2 FSV · 54% SGS 0-2 FCA · 61% HAM 1-2 EIN · 45% ROT 0-2 RBL · 62% SAS 0-2 LAZ · 62% CUA 0-2 GIR · 65% AIK 0-1 IFE · 48% CAL 1-0 EUR · 47% PIN 0-2 ELC · 58% SES 0-2 ESP · 61% CAS 0-2 ALM · 63% ATL 0-2 MIR · 58% CIU 0-1 RAY · 51% GIM 0-1 CUL · 49%
La Liga · Regular Season - 12 Oct 18, 2026 · 12:00 · UTC Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona Match Finished · 90'

Osasuna
vs
Racing Santander.

Quick answer

Who will win Osasuna vs Racing Santander?

Final score: Osasuna 2–0 Racing Santander. Before kickoff, 10 of 12 AI models pick Osasuna to win (83%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 1–0.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Osasuna form Racing Santander form

12 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Osasuna (10 of 12 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–0 at 47% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

La Liga table Where Osasuna and Racing Santander stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Osasuna win 83%

10 / 12 models

Draw 8%

1 / 12 models

Racing Santander win 8%

1 / 12 models

— Model breakdown

12 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Osasuna win
1–0
62%
Osasuna's home advantage at El Sadar and Racing's recent struggles suggest a narrow victory for the hosts.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Osasuna win
2–1
54%
Osasuna's strong home record at El Sadar and La Liga experience should edge out a Racing side adjusting to top-flight competition.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Osasuna win
2–1
60%
Osasuna's home advantage at El Sadar and superior La Liga pedigree should give them the edge over a newly promoted Racing Santander side, though Racing could find the net.
04
Grok 4.6
Osasuna win
1–0
48%
Osasuna home at El Sadar in La Liga should edge Racing Santander in a low-scoring match despite the 2025 H2H loss.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Osasuna win
1–0
60%
Osasuna's home advantage and tighter defense likely edge a low-scoring game.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Racing Santander win
0–1
58%
Racing Santander has recent form and historical edge; Osasuna struggles at home against this opponent.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Osasuna win
1–0
60%
Osasuna’s home form and defensive solidity at El Sadar favor a narrow win; recent H2H suggests tight, low-scoring affair.
08
Kimi K3
Osasuna win
1–0
52%
Osasuna's El Sadar is a tough venue and they are an established La Liga side; Racing, likely newly promoted, should struggle to score away. Expect a tight, low-scoring home win.
09
GLM 5.3
Osasuna win
1–0
50%
No H2H data available; El Sadar is a tough away trip and Osasuna are an established La Liga side facing a promoted Racing Santander, so a narrow low-scoring home win fits.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Draw
1–1
55%
Osasuna's home edge in Pamplona balanced by recent 0-1 loss to Racing Santander; low-scoring draw likely as both teams adjust defensively.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

8 of 12 models settled on 1–0. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–0
    8 models
  • 2–1
    2 models
  • 0–1
    1 model
  • 1–1
    1 model
Team news

Confirmed lineups: Osasuna vs Racing Santander

Osasuna

4-3-3
Arrasate
21 Jonathan Dubasin
21 Dubasin
17 A. Budimir
17 Budimir
14 Rubén García
14 García
16 Moi Gómez
16 Gómez
8 Iker Muñoz
8 Muñoz
7 Moncayola
7 Moncayola
23 Abel Bretones
23 Bretones
22 F. Boyomo
22 Boyomo
24 Catena
24 Catena
19 V. Rosier
19 Rosier
13 Aitor Fernández
13 Fernández

Bench: Kike Barja, R. Yeboah, Lucas Torró, U. Santos, Diego Rico, Rafa Fernández, Asier Osambela, Íñigo Arguibide, Mauro Echegoyen, Raúl García, Sergio Herrera, Raul Moro

Racing Santander

4-2-3-1
José Alberto López
21 M. Zabiri
21 Zabiri
10 Iñigo Vicente
10 Vicente
8 André Almeida
8 Almeida
20 Sergio Canales
20 Canales
18 M. Prati
18 Prati
23 Iván Martín
23 Martín
17 Jorge Salinas
17 Salinas
24 J. Belocian
24 Belocian
5 Pablo Ramón
5 Ramón
2 Álvaro Mantilla
2 Mantilla
13 Julen Agirrezabala
13 Agirrezabala

Bench: Asier Villalibre, Juan Carlos Arana, Pablo García, Íñigo Sainz-Maza, Pedro Felipe, Andrés Martín, Aarón Martín, Iker Luque, G. Guliashvili, M. Gueye, Facundo González, Laro Gómez

Season data

La Liga numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Osasuna

5-4-1
W-D-L
3-2-4
Goals
10-18
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
3
Best win run
2
Penalties
4/4
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Racing Santander

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
3-2-5
Goals
15-26
Clean sheets
0
Failed to score
3
Best win run
1
Penalties
1/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Osasuna

  • A. Budimir 7 G · 0 A · 9 apps

Key players · Racing Santander

  • M. Zabiri 8 G · 0 A · 10 apps
  • Iñigo Vicente 0 G · 3 A · 10 apps

Top scorers · La Liga

  1. 1 Raphinha Barcelona 13
  2. 2 Kylian Mbappé Real Madrid 11
  3. 3 M. Zabiri Racing Santander 8
  4. 4 Lamine Yamal Barcelona 8
  5. 5 Sergio Camello Rayo Vallecano 7
Venue Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona
Referee Juan Martinez Munuera
New at Osasuna R. Del Castillo (Stade Brestois 29), A. Bonel (Subiza), R. Yeboah (IFK Goteborg)
New at Racing Santander J. Belocian (Bayer Leverkusen), André Almeida (Valencia), I. Luque (Atletico Madrid)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Osasuna

83% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 47% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.10 vs 0.40

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Osasuna win · AI Osasuna win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Osasuna
#11 · 11 PTS · GD -8
Last 5
L W L D L
5 GF · 12 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Sevilla 2-0 L
  • Racing Santander 2-0 W
  • Real Betis 5-2 L
  • Rayo Vallecano 1-1 D
  • Atletico Madrid 4-0 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Racing Santander
#12 · 11 PTS · GD -11
Last 5
W L D L W
6 GF · 11 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Espanyol 2-1 W
  • Osasuna 2-0 L
  • Valencia 2-2 D
  • Celta Vigo 5-0 L
  • Alaves 2-1 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

OSA 1 · D 0 · RAC 0

OSA VS RAC
2-0
HOME WIN
Oct 18, 2026

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 83% of models side with Osasuna, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 8% — tight La Liga games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Osasuna
~83%
implied lean
Draw
~8%
implied lean
Racing Santander
~8%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.50 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 1.8 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Osasuna is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.50 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Osasuna win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Osasuna vs Racing Santander in La Liga? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 0; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Osasuna win, with vote shares roughly 83% / 8% / 8% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Osasuna vs Racing Santander, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

Related matches

— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.