ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
La Liga · Regular Season - 11 Nov 7, 2026 · 17:30 · UTC Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona Not Started

Osasuna
vs
Athletic Club.

Quick answer

Who will win Osasuna vs Athletic Club?

3 of 10 AI models pick Athletic Club to win (30%). A draw is in play: 7 of 10 models picked it. The mean predicted score is 1–1 at 44% average confidence (low).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Osasuna form Athletic Club form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (7 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 44% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

La Liga table Where Osasuna and Athletic Club stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Osasuna win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 70%

7 / 10 models

Athletic Club win 30%

3 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Draw
1–1
34%
Athletic’s stronger defense and Osasuna’s home advantage balance out. Recent form and the last two meetings point toward a tight, low-scoring contest, with Budimir giving the hosts a realistic scoring threat.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Draw
1–1
40%
Osasuna inconsistent defensively at home, Athletic solid but low-scoring; recent H2H shows tight, low-margin games fitting a draw.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
50%
Recent meetings between these regional rivals have been tightly contested and low-scoring. Athletic's solid defense faces Budimir's clinical home finishing, making a competitive 1-1 stalemate the most probable outcome.
04
Grok 4.6
Draw
1–1
46%
Basque derby at El Sadar; Athletic’s five clean sheets vs Osasuna’s 18 conceded and mixed H2H favour a tight 1-1 rather than a clear winner.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Draw
1–1
52%
Osasuna struggling at home (LLDLW) while Athletic Club draw-heavy (DDDLW); H2H often tight, with 1-1 already seen at El Sadar. Low-scoring, balanced fixture fits 1-1.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Athletic Club win
0–1
32%
Athletic's defensive solidity (5 clean sheets, 9 conceded) and unbeaten run contrast with Osasuna's poor form and leaky backline; H2H trend of tight low-scoring results supports a narrow away edge.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Draw
1–1
60%
Tight H2H history, Osasuna’s leaky defense vs Athletic’s solidity. Both teams balanced in form and goals.
08
Kimi K3
Draw
1–1
45%
Basque derby at El Sadar is typically tight; Athletic's five clean sheets and three straight draws meet Osasuna's inconsistent attack, suggesting a low-scoring stalemate.
09
GLM 5.3
Athletic Club win
0–1
45%
Osasuna's poor form (4 losses, 18 conceded) meets Athletic's 5 clean sheets and stingy defense; recent H2H games are tight and low-scoring, favoring a narrow away win.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Athletic Club win
0–1
38%
Athletic's defense (9 goals conceded, 5 clean sheets) faces an Osasuna attack with 18 conceded; H2H shows tight, low-scoring games and Athletic's 1-0 win in April still fits these squads' profiles.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

7 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    7 models
  • 0–1
    3 models

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 3.25 / 3.30 / 2.15
Osasuna Market 29% · AI 0%
Draw Market 28% · AI 70%
Athletic Club Market 43% · AI 30%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Season data

La Liga numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Osasuna

5-4-1
W-D-L
3-2-4
Goals
10-18
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
3
Best win run
2
Penalties
4/4
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Athletic Club

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
3-3-3
Goals
12-9
Clean sheets
5
Failed to score
3
Best win run
2
Penalties
1/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Osasuna

  • A. Budimir 7 G · 0 A · 10 apps

Key players · Athletic Club

  • Álex Berenguer 3 G · 4 A · 10 apps

Top scorers · La Liga

  1. 1 Raphinha Barcelona 13
  2. 2 Kylian Mbappé Real Madrid 11
  3. 3 M. Zabiri Racing Santander 8
  4. 4 Lamine Yamal Barcelona 8
  5. 5 Sergio Camello Rayo Vallecano 7
Venue Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona
New at Osasuna R. Del Castillo (Stade Brestois 29), A. Bonel (Subiza), R. Yeboah (IFK Goteborg)
New at Athletic Club A. Lekuna (Basconia), Unai Vencedor (Levante), Hugo Rincón (Girona)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

70% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Low confidence

Mean 44% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.70 vs 1.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Osasuna Athletic Club Expected total Lean
Corners 5.2 5.6 10.9 Over 10.5 52% Ask AI
Yellow cards 2.6 1.8 4.4 Under 4.5 55% Ask AI
Shots 14.1 12.0 26.1 Under 26.5 55% Ask AI
Shots on target 4.9 3.8 8.7 Over 8.5 51% Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 249 graded matches, cards 58% of 250. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Osasuna
#12 · 11 PTS · GD -10
Last 5
W L W L D
11 GF · 8 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Atletico Calatayud 0-6 W
  • Sevilla 2-0 L
  • Racing Santander 2-0 W
  • Real Betis 5-2 L
  • Rayo Vallecano 1-1 D
Team news
V. Rosier — Hamstring Injury J. Herrando — Muscle Injury A. Oroz — Muscle Injury M. Gomez — Hamstring Injury K. Barja — Muscle Injury A. Bonel — Inactive R. Del Castillo — Muscle Injury R. Moro — Muscle Injury
Athletic Club
#8 · 12 PTS · GD +3
Last 5
W W L D D
11 GF · 4 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Prat 1-6 W
  • Getafe 4-0 W
  • Levante 3-1 L
  • Valencia 0-0 D
  • Alaves 0-0 D
Team news
U. Egiluz — Knee Injury A. Gorosabel — Muscle Injury B. Prados Diaz — Thigh Injury N. Serrano — Coach's decision U. Vencedor — Inactive D. Vivian — Hamstring Injury P. Canales — Muscle Injury A. Djalo — Coach's decision G. Guruzeta — Hamstring Injury O. Sancet — Muscle Injury N. Williams — Thigh Injury A. Laporte — Red Card
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

OSA 0 · D 3 · ATH 2

ATH VS OSA
1-0
HOME WIN
Apr 21, 2026
OSA VS ATH
1-1
DRAW
Jan 3, 2026
ATH VS OSA
0-0
DRAW
Mar 30, 2025
OSA VS ATH
1-2
AWAY WIN
Dec 21, 2024
ATH VS OSA
2-2
DRAW
May 11, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Osasuna, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 70% — tight La Liga games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Osasuna
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~70%
implied lean
Athletic Club
~30%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.70 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Osasuna is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.70 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Athletic Club win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Osasuna vs Athletic Club in La Liga? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Athletic Club win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 70% / 30% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Osasuna vs Athletic Club, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

Related matches

— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.