ALD 0-1 NEO · 48% KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% EST 0-1 GIM · 59% ALD 0-1 NEO · 48% KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% EST 0-1 GIM · 59%
Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 15 Nov 1, 2026 · 21:30 · UTC Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario Not Started

Newells Old Boys
vs
Union Santa Fe.

Quick answer

Who will win Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe?

3 of 10 AI models pick Newells Old Boys to win (30%). A draw is in play: 7 of 10 models picked it. The mean predicted score is 1–1 at 42% average confidence (low).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Newells Old Boys form Union Santa Fe form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (7 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 42% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Liga Profesional Argentina table Where Newells Old Boys and Union Santa Fe stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Newells Old Boys win 30%

3 / 10 models

Draw 70%

7 / 10 models

Union Santa Fe win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Draw
1–1
31%
Newells have home advantage and improved recent form, but their low scoring rate contrasts with Union’s stronger attack. Union’s 47 goals and Tarragona’s output keep them competitive, while the mixed season records favor a tight draw.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Newells Old Boys win
2–1
46%
Newells unbeaten in two of last five at home venue advantage, Union Santa Fe in poor form (LLLDW) despite stronger attack numbers overall.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Newells Old Boys win
1–0
46%
Newell's have been tight defensively with 8 clean sheets and face a Union side that struggles on the road, having lost three of their last five games.
04
Grok 4.7
Draw
1–1
34%
Newell's draw-heavy and often blank; Union's attack is better but form is LLLDW. Tight Clausura game at Rosario points to a low 1-1.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Draw
1–1
42%
Newells are solid at home but Union's attack is stronger; both sides leak goals, and recent H2H shows tight contests. A low-scoring draw fits the mixed form.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Newells Old Boys win
1–0
42%
Newells' decent recent form (WDLWD) and home edge offset their low scoring rate; Union's three straight losses suggest blunt attack. Low-scoring narrow home win fits.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Draw
1–1
48%
Newells have 12 draws with only 28 scored; Union open at 47-46 with Tarragona threat. Recent 1-1 and tight venue history supports stalemate.
08
Kimi K3
Draw
1–1
48%
Newells' strong home form and late scoring threat balance Union's superior attack but poor recent run; H2H shows competitive splits, suggesting a tight, low-scoring draw at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa.
09
GLM 5.3
Draw
1–1
50%
Newells draw heavily (12) and score little; Union's form is poor but Tarragona (14 goals) keeps them competitive. H2H is tight, so a low-scoring draw fits best.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Draw
1–1
34%
Newells' 12 draws and blunt attack (28 goals, 11 blanks) suit a tight game; Union's Tarragona threat is offset by poor form (LLLDW). H2H shows tight, low-scoring meetings at this venue.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

7 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    7 models
  • 1–0
    2 models
  • 2–1
    1 model

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.91 / 3.30 / 4.10
Newells Old Boys Market 49% · AI 27%
Draw Market 28% · AI 73%
Union Santa Fe Market 23% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 11 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Predicted lineups: Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

Newells Old Boys

4-2-3-1 · XI v San Lorenzo, 24 Oct
Lucas Bernardi
9 M. Coccaro
9 Coccaro
32 S. Solari
32 Solari
20 F. Guch
20 Guch
7 W. Mazzantti
7 Mazzantti
19 J. Gomez
19 Gomez
5 L. Regiardo
5 Regiardo
28 J. Russo
28 Russo
16 L. Carrizo
16 Carrizo
25 B. Cabrera
25 Cabrera
6 M. Ortega
6 Ortega
30 J. Reinatti
30 Reinatti

Union Santa Fe

4-4-2 · XI v Estudiantes L.P., 26 Oct
Leonardo Madelon
25 C. Tarragona
25 Tarragona
19 M. Estigarribia
19 Estigarribia
22 B. Cuello
22 Cuello
17 J. Mosqueira
17 Mosqueira
34
34 Peresutti
20 J. Palacios
20 Palacios
18 L. Ayala
18 Ayala
26 J. Ludueña
26 Ludueña
4 M. Rocha
4 Rocha
27 T. Rubio
27 Rubio
21 M. Mansilla
21 Mansilla

Season data

Liga Profesional Argentina numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Newells Old Boys

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
8-12-10
Goals
28-37
Clean sheets
8
Failed to score
11
Best win run
2
Penalties
2/3
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Union Santa Fe

4-4-2
W-D-L
11-8-13
Goals
47-46
Clean sheets
5
Failed to score
9
Best win run
3
Penalties
4/4
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Newells Old Boys

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Key players · Union Santa Fe

  • C. Tarragona 15 G · 2 A · 31 apps
  • J. Palacios 3 G · 7 A · 29 apps

Top scorers · Liga Profesional Argentina

  1. 1 C. Tarragona Union Santa Fe 15
  2. 2 A. Módica Gimnasia M. 14
  3. 3 J. Marabel Sarmiento Junin 14
  4. 4 J. Caicedo Huracan 14
  5. 5 R. Martínez Velez Sarsfield 13
Venue Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario
New at Newells Old Boys S. Solari (Racing Club), L. Carrizo (Huracan), L. Gómez (Argentinos JRS)
New at Union Santa Fe T. Rubio (Racing Club), J. Mosqueira (Talleres Cordoba), M. Rocha (Arouca)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

70% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Low confidence

Mean 42% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.10 vs 0.80

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Newells Old Boys
#14 · 15 PTS · GD -12
Last 5
D L D W D
2 GF · 2 GA
Recent fixtures
  • San Lorenzo 0-0 D
  • Gimnasia M. 1-0 L
  • Lanus 0-0 D
  • Platense 0-1 W
  • Velez Sarsfield 1-1 D
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Union Santa Fe
#8 · 21 PTS · GD +4
Last 5
W D L L L
5 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Estudiantes L.P. 3-1 W
  • Deportivo Riestra 1-1 D
  • Defensa Y Justicia 0-2 L
  • Boca Juniors 3-0 L
  • Independiente 1-2 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

NEW 2 · D 1 · UNI 2

UNI VS NEW
2-3
AWAY WIN
Apr 17, 2026
NEW VS UNI
0-1
AWAY WIN
Nov 1, 2025
UNI VS NEW
1-1
DRAW
Apr 19, 2025
UNI VS NEW
2-0
HOME WIN
Nov 2, 2024
UNI VS NEW
1-3
AWAY WIN
Feb 9, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 30% of models side with Newells Old Boys, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 70% — tight Liga Profesional Argentina games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Newells Old Boys
~30%
implied lean
Draw
~70%
implied lean
Union Santa Fe
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.90 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.2 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Newells Old Boys is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.90 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Newells Old Boys win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe in Liga Profesional Argentina? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Newells Old Boys win, with vote shares roughly 30% / 70% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

Related matches

— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.