ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9 Oct 18, 2026 · 18:45 · UTC Groupama Stadium, Lyon Match Finished · 90'

Lyon
vs
Nice.

Quick answer

Who will win Lyon vs Nice?

Final score: Lyon 2–1 Nice. Before kickoff, 10 of 12 AI models pick Lyon to win (83%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 2–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Lyon form Nice form

12 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Lyon (10 of 12 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 45% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Ligue 1 table Where Lyon and Nice stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Lyon win 83%

10 / 12 models

Draw 17%

2 / 12 models

Nice win 0%

0 / 12 models

— Model breakdown

12 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Lyon win
2–1
51%
Lyon’s home advantage at Groupama Stadium gives them a narrow edge, while Nice are capable of scoring in a competitive Ligue 1 matchup. With no form or squad data supplied, confidence remains modest.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Lyon win
2–1
50%
Lyon's home record and attacking squad depth give a slight edge over Nice, who tend to grind tighter away games.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
48%
Both Lyon and Nice match up closely in tactical quality, with Nice's disciplined defensive block likely frustrating Lyon at Groupama Stadium.
04
Grok 4.6
Lyon win
1–0
48%
Thin data and no H2H; Lyon at Groupama in early Ligue 1 usually a tight home edge, low total more likely than a 2-1.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Lyon win
2–1
52%
Lyon at Groupama Stadium typically edge tight Ligue 1 games; Nice are defensively solid but likely to concede once or twice away.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Draw
1–1
38%
Thin context with no form or H2H data; Lyon home edge balanced by Nice's typical defensive solidity suggests a tight, low-scoring draw.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Lyon win
1–0
58%
Lyon's home form and attacking edge likely to convert in a tight low-scoring game.
08
Kimi K3
Lyon win
2–1
58%
Lyon's home advantage at Groupama Stadium and typically stronger attacking depth give them the edge, though Nice's organized defense should keep it competitive and low-scoring.
09
GLM 5.3
Lyon win
2–1
52%
Lyon at Groupama Stadium under Letexier typically control tempo; Nice are competitive away, so a narrow home win with both sides scoring fits best despite thin current form data.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Lyon win
1–0
55%
With no H2H or form data, base rates and home venue suggest a narrow Lyon win in a competitive Ligue 1 fixture.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

7 of 12 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    7 models
  • 1–0
    3 models
  • 1–1
    2 models
Team news

Confirmed lineups: Lyon vs Nice

Lyon

4-2-3-1
Paulo Fonseca
10 P. Šulc
10 Šulc
24 J. Duranville
24 Duranville
99 N. Nartey
99 Nartey
26 K. Boudache
26 Boudache
2 M. Bidstrup
2 Bidstrup
6 T. Tessmann
6 Tessmann
16 Abner
16 Abner
19 M. Niakhaté
19 Niakhaté
22 Clinton Mata
22 Mata
13 Z. Athekame
13 Athekame
40 R. Descamps
40 Descamps

Bench: D. Greif, R. Kluivert, F. Bacher, R. Himbert, K. Merah, T. Morton, Keito Nakamura, E. Nuamah, C. Tolisso

Nice

3-4-2-1
O. Pantaloni
11 E. Wahi
11 Wahi
9 M. Amoura
9 Amoura
7 G. Hein
7 Hein
27 N. Nkounkou
27 Nkounkou
6 H. Boudaoui
6 Boudaoui
28 A. Witsel
28 Witsel
92 J. Clauss
92 Clauss
35 X. Mandza Tsiendi
35 Tsiendi
55 Y. Ndayishimiye
55 Ndayishimiye
5 Mohamed Abdelmonem
5 Abdelmonem
23 Y. Diouf
23 Diouf

Bench: H. Koutoune, I. Jansson, S. Diop, D. Coulibaly, T. Boulhendi, D. Morana, N. Ngoumou, A. Seidu, M. Sanson

Season data

Ligue 1 numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Lyon

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
4-2-2
Goals
13-7
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
2
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Nice

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
3-2-3
Goals
8-10
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
3
Best win run
2
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Lyon

  • Z. Athekame 2 G · 3 A · 8 apps
  • E. Nuamah 3 G · 1 A · 6 apps
  • P. Šulc 1 G · 3 A · 7 apps

Key players · Nice

  • E. Wahi 3 G · 1 A · 7 apps
  • S. Diop 1 G · 2 A · 8 apps

Top scorers · Ligue 1

  1. 1 E. Lepaul Rennes 7
  2. 2 L. Sinayoko Paris FC 6
  3. 3 C. Archer Auxerre 5
  4. 4 A. Gouiri Marseille 5
  5. 5 C. Tengstedt Toulouse 5
Venue Groupama Stadium, Lyon
Referee Francois Letexier
New at Lyon Keito Nakamura (Reims), Z. Athekame (AC Milan), F. Bacher (Estoril)
New at Nice A. Seidu (Rennes), N. Nkounkou (Eintracht Frankfurt), M. Amoura (VfL Wolfsburg)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Lyon

83% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Low confidence

Mean 45% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.50 vs 0.70

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Lyon Nice Expected total Lean Actual
Corners 6.2 4.7 10.8 Over 10.5 52% 10 miss Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.7 1.8 3.6 Under 3.5 52% 4 miss Ask AI
Shots 13.1 10.1 23.2 Under 23.5 54% 20 hit Ask AI
Shots on target 4.5 4.1 8.7 Over 8.5 50% 9 hit Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 249 graded matches, cards 58% of 250. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

Result check

Actual Lyon win · AI Lyon win

1X2: Miss Score: Exact
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Lyon
#5 · 14 PTS · GD +6
Last 5
L L W W L
6 GF · 10 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Paris Saint Germain 2-0 L
  • 1899 Hoffenheim 3-0 L
  • Nice 2-1 W
  • Crystal Palace 3-2 W
  • Lens 2-1 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Nice
#10 · 11 PTS · GD -2
Last 5
W L W W L
7 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Stade Brestois 29 1-2 W
  • Lyon 2-1 L
  • Strasbourg 2-1 W
  • Lille 2-1 W
  • Auxerre 1-0 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

LYO 4 · D 0 · NIC 1

LYO VS NIC
2-1
HOME WIN
Oct 18, 2026
LYO VS NIC
2-0
HOME WIN
Feb 15, 2026
NIC VS LYO
3-2
HOME WIN
Oct 18, 2025
NIC VS LYO
0-2
AWAY WIN
Mar 9, 2025
LYO VS NIC
4-1
HOME WIN
Dec 1, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 83% of models side with Lyon, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 17% — tight Ligue 1 games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Lyon
~83%
implied lean
Draw
~17%
implied lean
Nice
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.20 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.5 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Lyon is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.20 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Lyon win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Lyon vs Nice in Ligue 1? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Lyon win, with vote shares roughly 83% / 17% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Lyon vs Nice, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.