KUP 1-0 SAB · 58% LIN 0-2 MJA · 60% DIN 2-0 FCT · 65% CEL 1-0 EGN · 60% HEA 1-0 STU · 56% SHA 1-0 ARA · 60% KAI 1-1 OMO · 56% KAU 1-0 KIK · 58% LEC 2-1 AAR · 58% HAP 2-0 VIK · 63% UNI 1-0 LEV · 52% GOR 1-2 FEN · 59% FKC 3-0 LAR · 65% SLO 2-0 SAB · 63% KUP 1-0 SAB · 58% LIN 0-2 MJA · 60% DIN 2-0 FCT · 65% CEL 1-0 EGN · 60% HEA 1-0 STU · 56% SHA 1-0 ARA · 60% KAI 1-1 OMO · 56% KAU 1-0 KIK · 58% LEC 2-1 AAR · 58% HAP 2-0 VIK · 63% UNI 1-0 LEV · 52% GOR 1-2 FEN · 59% FKC 3-0 LAR · 65% SLO 2-0 SAB · 63%
UEFA Europa League · 3rd Qualifying Round Jul 23, 2026 · 19:00 · UTC Stadion Poljud, Split Match Finished · 90'

HNK Hajduk Split
vs
Pafos.

10 AI models read this fixture. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward HNK Hajduk Split (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 59% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

HNK Hajduk Split win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Pafos win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-4o
HNK Hajduk Split win
2–1
60%
Hajduk Split benefits from home advantage and European experience, likely edging past Pafos in a competitive match.
02
Claude Sonnet (Latest)
HNK Hajduk Split win
2–1
52%
Hajduk's home crowd at Poljud and early-round qualifying edge favor them, but Pafos (Cyprus champions) are competitive, making a narrow home win most likely.
03
Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview
HNK Hajduk Split win
2–0
60%
Hajduk Split boasts strong home advantage at Stadion Poljud and greater European pedigree. Pafos are relatively inexperienced at this level, making a solid home win likely.
04
Mistral Large 2512
HNK Hajduk Split win
2–1
60%
Hajduk Split’s home advantage at Stadion Poljud and stronger domestic form suggest a narrow win; Pafos may score but unlikely to outscore hosts.
05
DeepSeek Chat (V3)
HNK Hajduk Split win
2–1
60%
Hajduk's home advantage and stronger European pedigree edge a tight qualifier.
06
Qwen 2.5 72B Instruct
HNK Hajduk Split win
1–0
60%
HNK Hajduk Split's strong home record and Pafos's defensive vulnerabilities suggest a narrow home win.
07
Llama 3.1 70B Instruct
HNK Hajduk Split win
2–1
62%
HNK Hajduk Split's home advantage and recent form suggest a narrow win.
08
MiMo V2.5 Pro
HNK Hajduk Split win
1–0
55%
Hajduk Split's home venue in qualifiers and stronger European pedigree suggest a controlled, low-scoring win against a less proven Pafos side.
09
Cohere Command R+ (08-2024)
HNK Hajduk Split win
2–1
60%
Hajduk Split's home advantage and stronger recent form should be enough to edge a close game, but Pafos can score.
10
Grok 4.3
HNK Hajduk Split win
2–0
62%
Hajduk Split hold clear home edge at Poljud versus a Cypriot qualifier opponent with limited European pedigree.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    6 models
  • 1–0
    2 models
  • 2–0
    2 models

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos in UEFA Europa League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is HNK Hajduk Split win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors HNK Hajduk Split

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 59% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.80 vs 0.60

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match xG — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model
Result check

Actual HNK Hajduk Split win · AI HNK Hajduk Split win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

HNK Hajduk Split
Last 5
W L W W W
7 GF · 2 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Pafos 2-0 W
  • Žilina 2-1 L
  • Žilina 2-0 W
  • Celje 0-1 W
  • LNZ Cherkasy 0-1 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Pafos
Last 5
L L L D W
4 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • HNK Hajduk Split 2-0 L
  • Slovan Bratislava 3-2 L
  • Jagiellonia 1-0 L
  • FK Jablonec 0-0 D
  • Cracovia Krakow 1-2 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

HNK 1 · D 0 · PAF 0

HNK VS PAF
2-0
HOME WIN
Jul 23, 2026

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with HNK Hajduk Split, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight UEFA Europa League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

HNK Hajduk Split
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Pafos
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.40 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.7 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When HNK Hajduk Split is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.40 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: HNK Hajduk Split win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

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HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos · UEFA Europa League

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Push alerts the moment models finalize.

Confidence bands, contrarian flags, late team-news re-runs. No upsells, no popups.