ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8 Oct 17, 2026 · 13:30 · UTC Volksparkstadion, Hamburger Match Finished · 90'

Hamburger SV
vs
VfB Stuttgart.

Quick answer

Who will win Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?

Final score: Hamburger SV 1–0 VfB Stuttgart. Before kickoff, 7 of 12 AI models pick VfB Stuttgart to win (58%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 1–2.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Hamburger SV form VfB Stuttgart form

12 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward VfB Stuttgart (7 of 12 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–2 at 46% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Bundesliga table Where Hamburger SV and VfB Stuttgart stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Hamburger SV win 17%

2 / 12 models

Draw 25%

3 / 12 models

VfB Stuttgart win 58%

7 / 12 models

— Model breakdown

12 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
VfB Stuttgart win
2–3
62%
Stuttgart's recent dominance in head-to-head and current form edge suggest a narrow away win despite Hamburg's home advantage.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
VfB Stuttgart win
1–2
55%
Stuttgart have dominated recent meetings including a heavy 4-0 win, suggesting a quality edge that should carry into a tight away victory.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
VfB Stuttgart win
1–2
60%
Stuttgart has dominated recent H2H meetings, including a convincing 4-0 win earlier this year. Despite HSV's home advantage, Stuttgart's superior squad quality should secure them a narrow away victory.
04
Grok 4.6
Draw
1–1
42%
Limited form data; HSV at Volksparkstadion faces a strong Stuttgart side with mixed recent H2H, pointing to a low-scoring draw.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
VfB Stuttgart win
1–2
62%
VfB Stuttgart's recent dominance in H2H and stronger form suggest a narrow away win.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
VfB Stuttgart win
1–2
60%
Stuttgart's recent dominance and strong away form suggest an away win, but Hamburger SV's home advantage could limit the margin.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Hamburger SV win
2–1
60%
Hamburger SV’s home form and recent H2H win suggest narrow advantage; Stuttgart’s away fragility favors low-scoring home victory.
08
Kimi K3
VfB Stuttgart win
1–2
52%
Stuttgart's recent Bundesliga quality and attacking depth edge Hamburg's newly promoted, defensively fragile side; Volksparkstadion crowd keeps it competitive but visitors' superior individual quality should tell.
09
GLM 5.3
Draw
1–1
45%
No H2H or form data available; HSV's home edge at Volksparkstadion offsets Stuttgart's Bundesliga quality, so a tight draw is the most defensible line.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Draw
1–1
60%
H2H shows both teams score often; Hamburger SV at home has mixed results (2-1 win, 1-3 loss), indicating a balanced draw.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 12 models settled on 1–2. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–2
    6 models
  • 1–1
    3 models
  • 2–1
    2 models
  • 2–3
    1 model
Team news

Confirmed lineups: Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart

Hamburger SV

3-5-2
M. Polzin
15 Y. Poulsen
15 Poulsen
20 Fábio Vieira
20 Vieira
37 L. Lemke
37 Lemke
28 M. Muheim
28 Muheim
4 B. Nadir
4 Nadir
5 M. Adeline
5 Adeline
3 D. Møller Wolfe
3 Wolfe
17 W. Omari
17 Omari
33 S. Bornauw
33 Bornauw
24 N. Capaldo
24 Capaldo
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes
1 Fernandes

Bench: Kofi Jeremy Amoako, Z. El Ouahdi, A. Grønbæk, T. Moffi, S. Nandja, Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit, Otto Emerson Stange, J. Torunarigha, S. Tangvik

VfB Stuttgart

4-2-3-1
S. Hoeneb
9 E. Demirović
9 Demirović
18 J. Leweling
18 Leweling
26 D. Undav
26 Undav
11 B. El Khannouss
11 Khannouss
6 A. Stiller
6 Stiller
16 A. Karazor
16 Karazor
3 R. Hendriks
3 Hendriks
24 J. Chabot
24 Chabot
29 Finn Jeltsch
29 Jeltsch
4 J. Vagnoman
4 Vagnoman
41 D. Seimen
41 Seimen

Bench: L. Assignon, F. Bredlow, C. Führich, L. Jaquez, D. Pejčinović, G. Prömel, L. Sauer, Y. Spalt, L. Stergiou

Season data

Bundesliga numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Hamburger SV

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
3-0-4
Goals
6-16
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
4
Best win run
3
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

VfB Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
2-0-5
Goals
10-13
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
2
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Hamburger SV

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Key players · VfB Stuttgart

  • E. Demirović 3 G · 0 A · 7 apps

Top scorers · Bundesliga

  1. 1 N. Füllkrug Werder Bremen 8
  2. 2 M. Olise Bayern München 6
  3. 3 P. Schick Bayer Leverkusen 6
  4. 4 Y. Ebnoutalib Eintracht Frankfurt 5
  5. 5 P. Tietz FSV Mainz 05 5
Venue Volksparkstadion, Hamburger
Referee Robert Hartmann
New at Hamburger SV M. Vušković (Hamburger SV), D. Møller Wolfe (Wolves), Fábio Vieira (Arsenal)
New at VfB Stuttgart Jonathan Akaegbobi (Bochum II), D. Pejčinović (VfL Wolfsburg), L. Sauer (Feyenoord)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors VfB Stuttgart

58% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 46% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.20 vs 1.70

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Hamburger SV VfB Stuttgart Expected total Lean Actual
Corners 4.1 5.0 9.1 Under 9.5 58% 14 miss Ask AI
Yellow cards 2.0 1.7 3.7 Over 3.5 51% 3 miss Ask AI
Shots 12.9 13.2 26.1 Under 26.5 55% 38 miss Ask AI
Shots on target 4.4 6.3 10.7 Over 10.5 51% 8 miss Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 249 graded matches, cards 58% of 250. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

Result check

Actual Hamburger SV win · AI VfB Stuttgart win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Hamburger SV
#11 · 9 PTS · GD -10
Last 5
L L W W W
7 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Eintracht Frankfurt 1-3 L
  • SC Paderborn 07 1-0 L
  • VfB Stuttgart 1-0 W
  • 1899 Hoffenheim 2-3 W
  • FC Copenhagen 2-0 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

VfB Stuttgart
#15 · 6 PTS · GD -3
Last 5
W L D L W
7 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • SC Paderborn 07 0-1 W
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-3 L
  • Atletico Madrid 1-1 D
  • Hamburger SV 1-0 L
  • Slovan Bratislava 0-3 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

HAM 3 · D 0 · VFB 2

HAM VS VFB
1-0
HOME WIN
Oct 17, 2026
VFB VS HAM
4-0
HOME WIN
Apr 12, 2026
HAM VS VFB
2-1
HOME WIN
Nov 30, 2025
VFB VS HAM
3-2
HOME WIN
May 28, 2020
HAM VS VFB
6-2
HOME WIN
Oct 26, 2019

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 17% of models side with Hamburger SV, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 25% — tight Bundesliga games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Hamburger SV
~17%
implied lean
Draw
~25%
implied lean
VfB Stuttgart
~58%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.90 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3.2 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Hamburger SV is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.90 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: VfB Stuttgart win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart in Bundesliga? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 2; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is VfB Stuttgart win, with vote shares roughly 17% / 25% / 58% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.