ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 48% KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 48% KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 11 Nov 1, 2026 · 15:45 · UTC Euroborg, Groningen Not Started

Groningen
vs
Sparta Rotterdam.

Quick answer

Who will win Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?

10 of 10 AI models pick Groningen to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 2–1 at 50% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Groningen form Sparta Rotterdam form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (751 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Groningen (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 50% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Eredivisie table Where Groningen and Sparta Rotterdam stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Groningen win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Sparta Rotterdam win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Groningen win
2–1
54%
Groningen’s stronger 4-3-3 record, unbeaten scoring run, and Euroborg advantage outweigh Sparta’s recent improvement. Both defenses have conceded regularly, making a narrow home win more likely than a clean sheet.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Groningen win
2–1
52%
Groningen's better form and attack (Willumsson, van Bergen) at home outweigh Sparta's weak away record, though Sparta have historically troubled them.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Groningen win
2–1
48%
Groningen have scored in every game this season with Willumsson in top form, while Sparta struggle defensively having conceded 24 goals without a clean sheet.
04
Grok 4.7
Groningen win
2–1
52%
Groningen’s better league form and Euroborg attack (Willumsson, van Bergen) outweigh Sparta’s recent H2H; both leak goals so 2-1 fits over a shutout.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Groningen win
2–1
43%
Groningen's stronger attack and home venue edge over a leaky Sparta defense, but Sparta's H2H success and Groningen's own defensive issues keep this close.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Groningen win
2–1
50%
Groningen's superior form (DWWLD) and prolific attack (2.4 goals/game) at home outweigh Sparta's recent H2H dominance; Sparta's 0 clean sheets and poor away form support a narrow home win.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Groningen win
3–1
54%
Groningen unbeaten scoring in all 10 with Willumsson and van Bergen in form at Euroborg; Sparta winless defensively with zero clean sheets.
08
Kimi K3
Groningen win
2–1
52%
Groningen's stronger form (4W vs 2W) and home venue outweigh Sparta's historical H2H dominance; both defenses leak goals, suggesting a narrow home win.
09
GLM 5.3
Groningen win
2–1
50%
Groningen's stronger form (4W, Willumsson 8 goals) and Euroborg edge outweigh Sparta's H2H sweep, but Sparta score regularly and Groningen concede, so 2-1 fits.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Groningen win
2–1
48%
Groningen's stronger form (4W3D3L vs 2W3D5L) and Euroborg edge outweigh Sparta's recent H2H dominance, though their attack keeps it close; no key absences noted.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

9 of 10 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    9 models
  • 3–1
    1 model

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.73 / 4.20 / 4.20
Groningen Market 55% · AI 100%
Draw Market 22% · AI 0%
Sparta Rotterdam Market 23% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 11 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Predicted lineups: Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

Groningen

4-2-3-1 · XI v Emmen, 29 Oct
9 Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson
9 Willumsson
11 Jacob Ondrejka
11 Ondrejka
26 Thom van Bergen
26 Bergen
17 David van der Werff
17 Werff
24 Pelle Clement
24 Clement
18 Tygo Land
18 Land
2 Wouter Prins
2 Prins
4 Márk Csinger
4 Csinger
3 Thijmen Blokzijl
3 Blokzijl
14 Jorg Schreuders
14 Schreuders
1 Etienne Vaessen
1 Vaessen

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-1 · XI v Fortuna Sittard, 28 Oct
9 Milan Zonneveld
9 Zonneveld
11 Isaac Babadi
11 Babadi
10 Robin van Cruijsen
10 Cruijsen
7 Mitchell Van Bergen
7 Bergen
8 Teo Quintero
8 Quintero
6 Julian Baas
6 Baas
5 Bas Kuipers
5 Kuipers
4 Nick Verschuren
4 Verschuren
3 Marvin Young
3 Young
2 Lushendry Edward Martes
2 Martes
1 Filip Bednarek
1 Bednarek

Season data

Eredivisie numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Groningen

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
4-3-3
Goals
24-21
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
0
Best win run
2
Penalties
1/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
2-3-5
Goals
17-24
Clean sheets
0
Failed to score
2
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Groningen

  • T. van Bergen 6 G · 3 A · 10 apps
  • B. Willumsson 8 G · 0 A · 10 apps
  • D. van der Werff 2 G · 3 A · 10 apps

Key players · Sparta Rotterdam

  • M. Zonneveld 6 G · 1 A · 10 apps
  • I. Babadi 1 G · 3 A · 6 apps
  • B. Kuipers 0 G · 3 A · 10 apps

Top scorers · Eredivisie

  1. 1 S. Tengstedt GO Ahead Eagles 8
  2. 2 B. Willumsson Groningen 8
  3. 3 J. Brandt Ajax 6
  4. 4 J. Trenskow Heerenveen 6
  5. 5 M. Zonneveld Sparta Rotterdam 6
Venue Euroborg, Groningen
New at Groningen H. Hateboer (Rennes), P. Boevink (SpVgg Greuther Fürth), J. Ondrejka (Parma)
New at Sparta Rotterdam I. Babadi (PSV Eindhoven), M. Brouwer (Utrecht), C. Hatenboer (Anderlecht)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Groningen

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 50% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 2.10 vs 1.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Groningen Sparta Rotterdam Expected total Lean
Corners 5.2 4.4 9.6 Under 9.5 51% Ask AI
Yellow cards 0.9 1.6 2.5 Under 2.5 54% Ask AI
Shots 14.7 11.2 25.8 Over 25.5 51% Ask AI
Shots on target 5.1 3.9 9.0 Over 8.5 54% Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 249 graded matches, cards 58% of 250. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Groningen
#8 · 15 PTS · GD +3
Last 5
L D L W W
12 GF · 10 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Emmen 0-2 L
  • NEC Nijmegen 2-2 D
  • Ajax 2-5 L
  • Excelsior 1-5 W
  • PEC Zwolle 3-0 W
Team news
M. Jeng — Leg Injury T. Mercera — Injury E. van der Laan — Injury
Sparta Rotterdam
#14 · 9 PTS · GD -7
Last 5
D L W D L
9 GF · 13 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Fortuna Sittard 2-2 D
  • Ajax 1-2 L
  • Willem II 3-2 W
  • GO Ahead Eagles 3-3 D
  • Heerenveen 0-4 L
Team news
S. Mito — Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

GRO 1 · D 0 · SPA 4

SPA VS GRO
2-0
HOME WIN
Jan 31, 2026
GRO VS SPA
0-2
AWAY WIN
Oct 19, 2025
SPA VS GRO
1-0
HOME WIN
Feb 2, 2025
GRO VS SPA
1-0
HOME WIN
Nov 9, 2024
GRO VS SPA
0-5
AWAY WIN
May 28, 2023

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Groningen, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Eredivisie games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Groningen
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Sparta Rotterdam
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 3.10 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3.4 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Groningen is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 3.10 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Groningen win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam in Eredivisie? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Groningen win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

Related matches

— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.