CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% FAL 0-2 CEL · 62% DJU 2-0 DEG · 67% MAL 1-2 HAM · 52% ODE 1-1 SIL · 43% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% FAL 0-2 CEL · 62% DJU 2-0 DEG · 67% MAL 1-2 HAM · 52% ODE 1-1 SIL · 43%
Primera A · Clausura - 17 Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto Not Started

Deportivo Pasto
vs
Jaguares.

Quick answer

Who will win Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares?

10 of 10 AI models pick Deportivo Pasto to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 1–0 at 49% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Deportivo Pasto form Jaguares form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (807 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Deportivo Pasto (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–0 at 49% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Primera A table Where Deportivo Pasto and Jaguares stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Deportivo Pasto win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Jaguares win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Deportivo Pasto win
1–0
48%
Pasto’s home venue and stronger season record give them a narrow edge, though their recent form is mixed. Jaguares have conceded 62 goals, but both sides’ scoring records support a low-scoring 1-0.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Deportivo Pasto win
2–1
40%
Pasto have a clearly better season record than Jaguares (13W vs 8W, 40-52 vs 37-62 goals) and play at home, having won the last meeting 3-2. Jaguares' Rentería (12 goals) keeps them scoring, so 2-1 fits.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Deportivo Pasto win
1–0
55%
Pasto's altitude advantage and solid clean-sheet record (11 this season) should stifle a Jaguares side with 20 defeats, leading to a typical narrow home win.
04
Grok 4.7
Deportivo Pasto win
1–0
54%
Pasto’s better season record and Libertad altitude edge outweigh a poor DLLWL run. Jaguares leak heavily; home H2H games were tight, so a narrow 1-0 fits better than a high-scoring line.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Deportivo Pasto win
1–0
52%
Pasto's home edge and Jaguares' poor away form (20 losses) point to a narrow home win; both sides struggle to score, making 1-0 the best exact line.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Deportivo Pasto win
1–0
40%
Pasto's home edge and 11 clean sheets offset poor form; Jaguares' weak attack (1.06 goals/game) and H2H pattern of low scores support a narrow 1-0.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Deportivo Pasto win
1–0
52%
Pasto stronger at Libertad altitude with 11 clean sheets; Jaguares poor 8-7-20 and leaky. H2H leans low scores.
08
Kimi K3
Deportivo Pasto win
1–0
52%
Pasto has stronger record and home edge at Libertad; Jaguares leak goals away but Pasto's attack is inconsistent, so a narrow low-scoring home win fits best.
09
GLM 5.3
Deportivo Pasto win
1–0
52%
Pasto have the stronger season record and altitude-ish home venue in Pasto; Jaguares' poor away form (20 losses) and Pasto's late-game goals support a narrow home win, with 1-0 fitting modest scoring.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Deportivo Pasto win
1–0
46%
Pasto's home edge and Jaguares' 62 goals conceded point to a tight home win; both sides' poor recent form and Pasto's 11 clean sheets favor a low scoreline like 1-0.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

9 of 10 models settled on 1–0. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–0
    9 models
  • 2–1
    1 model

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

William Hill · 1.67 / 3.50 / 4.80
Deportivo Pasto Market 55% · AI 100%
Draw Market 26% · AI 0%
Jaguares Market 19% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Predicted lineups: Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

Deportivo Pasto

4-1-4-1 · XI v Bucaramanga, 31 Oct
16 Mayer Gil
16 Gil
7 Jonathan Perlaza
7 Perlaza
15 Harrinson Mancilla
15 Mancilla
8 Enrique Serje
8 Serje
18 Joider Micolta
18 Micolta
25 Franco Leys
25 Leys
3 Joyce Ossa
3 Ossa
5 Nicolas Gil Uribe
5 Uribe
2 Fainer Torijano
2 Torijano
33 Mateo Garavito
33 Garavito
12 Geovanni Banguera
12 Banguera

Jaguares

· XI v Deportivo Pereira, 30 Oct
Julio Mendez
  1. 12 Franklin Mosquera
  2. 18 Luis Jiménez
  3. 6 Jonathan Lovera
  4. 3 Jerson Malagón
  5. 4 Juan Franco
  6. 32 Jose Yanez
  7. 21 Rafael Bustamante
  8. 7 Wilfrido De la Rosa
  9. 10 Cristian Alvarez
  10. 9 Johar Mejía
  11. 11 Andrés Rentería

Season data

Primera A numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Deportivo Pasto

4-3-3
W-D-L
13-7-17
Goals
40-52
Clean sheets
11
Failed to score
12
Best win run
3
Penalties
4/4
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Jaguares

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
8-7-20
Goals
37-62
Clean sheets
6
Failed to score
10
Best win run
1
Penalties
6/7
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Deportivo Pasto

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Key players · Jaguares

  • A. Rentería 12 G · 3 A · 29 apps

Top scorers · Primera A

  1. 1 Y. Guzmán America de Cali 20
  2. 2 A. Estupiñán Millonarios 19
  3. 3 D. Moreno Once Caldas 16
  4. 4 L. Muriel Junior 16
  5. 5 L. Pons Bucaramanga 14
Venue Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto
New at Deportivo Pasto F. Leys (Aldosivi), A. Ibargüen (Once Caldas), J. Ossa (Monagas SC)
New at Jaguares R. Perez (Jaguares), C. Cantillo (Barranquilla), E. Beltrán (Once Caldas)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Deportivo Pasto

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 49% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.10 vs 0.10

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Deportivo Pasto
#3 · 34 PTS · GD +4
Last 5
L W L L D
2 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Bucaramanga 2-1 L
  • Deportes Tolima 0-1 W
  • Atletico Nacional 3-0 L
  • Alianza Valledupar 0-1 L
  • Fortaleza FC 0-0 D
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Jaguares
#16 · 18 PTS · GD -13
Last 5
L W L L W
6 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Deportivo Pereira 1-0 L
  • Llaneros 1-0 W
  • Santa Fe 2-1 L
  • Millonarios 4-1 L
  • Deportes Tolima 3-2 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

DEP 2 · D 2 · JAG 1

JAG VS DEP
2-3
AWAY WIN
Apr 17, 2026
JAG VS DEP
0-0
DRAW
Aug 3, 2024
DEP VS JAG
1-1
DRAW
Feb 5, 2024
JAG VS DEP
1-0
HOME WIN
Oct 20, 2023
DEP VS JAG
1-0
HOME WIN
Sep 9, 2023

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Deportivo Pasto, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Primera A games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Deportivo Pasto
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Jaguares
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.20 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 1.5 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Deportivo Pasto is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.20 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Deportivo Pasto win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares in Primera A? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 0; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Deportivo Pasto win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.