UDI 0-2 ASR · 62% CHA 2-2 ORL · 42% AAL 1-1 SAN · 43% STA 2-0 KOR · 58% TOT 1-0 CRY · 47% REA 2-0 MAL · 63% BAY 2-1 BOR · 53% HEE 2-1 NEC · 51% PSV 3-0 WIL · 68% FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% UDI 0-2 ASR · 62% CHA 2-2 ORL · 42% AAL 1-1 SAN · 43% STA 2-0 KOR · 58% TOT 1-0 CRY · 47% REA 2-0 MAL · 63% BAY 2-1 BOR · 53% HEE 2-1 NEC · 51% PSV 3-0 WIL · 68% FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42%
Serie A · Regular Season - 33 Arena Condá, Chapeco Not Started

Chapecoense-sc
vs
Mirassol.

Quick answer

Who will win Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol?

10 of 10 AI models pick Mirassol to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 0–1 at 49% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Chapecoense-sc form Mirassol form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (799 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Mirassol (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 0–1 at 49% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Serie A table Where Chapecoense-sc and Mirassol stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Chapecoense-sc win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Mirassol win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Mirassol win
0–1
57%
Chapecoense-sc have 18 losses and a -31 goal difference, while Mirassol’s steadier 9-10-13 record and recent WDLWD form outweigh home advantage. The repeated low-scoring H2H pattern also supports a narrow away win.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Mirassol win
0–1
48%
Chapecoense's dreadful form (4W-9D-18L, last five DLLLW) and weak attack contrast with Mirassol's mid-table stability and H2H dominance.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Mirassol win
0–1
52%
Chapecoense have struggled all season with 18 losses and a porous defense. Mirassol hold a strong head-to-head record in typically low-scoring matchups between the two sides.
04
Grok 4.7
Mirassol win
0–1
48%
Chape’s 18 losses and 63 conceded dwarf Mirassol’s mid-table form; H2H is mostly 1-0 away wins and both sides score late and rarely keep sheets.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Mirassol win
0–1
58%
Chapecoense have 2 clean sheets and 10 scoreless games in 31 matches; Mirassol won 3 of last 4 H2H 1-0. Away edge fits both form and history.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Mirassol win
0–1
40%
H2H shows four Mirassol wins in five meetings, mostly 1-0. Chapecoense's dire season (4W 18L) and poor attack support a narrow away win.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Mirassol win
0–1
48%
Mirassol unbeaten in five H2H with four 1-0/0-1 wins; Chapecoense 4-9-19 and LLLWL meets Mirassol WDLWD.
08
Kimi K3
Mirassol win
0–1
52%
Chapecoense have lost 18 of 31 with 63 conceded and failed to score 10 times; Mirassol are steadier and H2H shows repeated 1-0 wins, though away form keeps confidence moderate.
09
GLM 5.3
Mirassol win
0–1
45%
Chapecoense's poor season (18 losses, 32-63 goals) meets in-form Mirassol, who have never lost this H2H and keep games tight; narrow low-scoring away win fits.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Mirassol win
0–1
42%
Chapecoense sit bottom with 18 losses and 63 conceded; Mirassol's stronger season and H2H edge (four wins in five, three 1-0s at this fixture) support a tight away win despite Arena Condá.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

10 of 10 models settled on 0–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 0–1
    10 models

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 3.00 / 3.50 / 2.20
Chapecoense-sc Market 31% · AI 0%
Draw Market 27% · AI 0%
Mirassol Market 42% · AI 100%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 11 AI models picking each result.

Season data

Serie A numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Chapecoense-sc

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
4-9-19
Goals
32-66
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
11
Best win run
1
Penalties
2/3
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Mirassol

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
9-10-13
Goals
37-45
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
8
Best win run
1
Penalties
2/4
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Chapecoense-sc

  • Giovanni Augusto 2 G · 6 A · 24 apps

Key players · Mirassol

  • Igor Formiga 4 G · 5 A · 29 apps
  • Alesson 0 G · 5 A · 28 apps

Top scorers · Serie A

  1. 1 K. Viveros Atletico Paranaense 21
  2. 2 Pedro Flamengo 18
  3. 3 Gabriel Barbosa Santos 15
  4. 4 Kaio Jorge Cruzeiro 12
  5. 5 Samuel Lino Flamengo 11
Venue Arena Condá, Chapeco
Referee L. Torezin
New at Chapecoense-sc Dudu Marques (Guarani Campinas), Rosivan (Maranhão), M. Carvalho (Al-Qadisiyah FC)
New at Mirassol Zé Roberto (Sport Recife), Gustavo Silva (Jubilo Iwata), Gustavo Cazonatti (Sporting Cristal)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Mirassol

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 49% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.00 vs 1.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Chapecoense-sc
#20 · 21 PTS · GD -34
Last 5
L W L D L
4 GF · 8 GA
Recent fixtures
  • RB Bragantino 3-0 L
  • Fluminense 2-1 W
  • Botafogo 1-0 L
  • Atletico Nacional 1-1 D
  • Internacional 1-2 L
Team news
Bruno Matias — Knee Injury Mancha — Knee Injury Neto Pessoa — Inactive Rafael Thyere — Inactive Robert Conceicao — Inactive Marcos Vinicius — Inactive Mauricio Garcez — Inactive Camilo Reijers — Loan agreement Everton — Red Card Giovanni Augusto — Injury Italo — Injury Eduardo Doma — Red Card
Mirassol
#15 · 37 PTS · GD -8
Last 5
D W L D W
8 GF · 3 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Sao Paulo 1-1 D
  • Internacional 2-0 W
  • Bahia 1-0 L
  • RB Bragantino 1-1 D
  • Uberlandia 0-4 W
Team news
Andre Luis — Inactive Edson Carioca — Muscle Injury Felipe Jonatan — Inactive Daniel Borges — Inactive Renato Marques — Injury Eduardo — Injury Igor Carius — Injury Yuri Lara — Red Card Jose Aldo — Yellow Cards Reinaldo — Yellow Cards Negueba — Yellow Cards Neto Moura — Yellow Cards
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

CHA 0 · D 1 · MIR 4

MIR VS CHA
1-1
DRAW
May 10, 2026
MIR VS CHA
1-0
HOME WIN
Nov 24, 2024
CHA VS MIR
0-1
AWAY WIN
Aug 5, 2024
CHA VS MIR
0-1
AWAY WIN
Jul 29, 2023
MIR VS CHA
1-0
HOME WIN
Apr 15, 2023

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Chapecoense-sc, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Serie A games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Chapecoense-sc
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Mirassol
~100%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.00 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 1.3 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Chapecoense-sc is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.00 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Mirassol win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol in Serie A? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (0 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Mirassol win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 0% / 100% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.