ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
Serie A · Regular Season - 9 Oct 24, 2026 · 13:00 · UTC Unipol Domus, Cagliari Match Finished · 90'

Cagliari
vs
Bologna.

Quick answer

Who will win Cagliari vs Bologna?

Final score: Cagliari 0–2 Bologna. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Cagliari to win (100%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 1–0.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Cagliari form Bologna form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (751 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Cagliari (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–0 at 49% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Serie A table Where Cagliari and Bologna stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Cagliari win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Bologna win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Cagliari win
1–0
56%
Cagliari’s 4-1-2 start, three clean sheets and home advantage outweigh Bologna’s poorer 1-2-4 record and absent Orsolini. Bologna’s scoring difficulties and recent low-scoring H2H support a narrow home win.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Cagliari win
2–1
47%
Cagliari's stronger recent form (WWWDL) and Maldini's scoring touch outweigh Bologna's struggles (1W in 7, no clean sheets); home edge at Unipol Domus.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Cagliari win
1–0
48%
Cagliari enter in solid form with four wins and three clean sheets, while Bologna struggle for goals with key attackers Orsolini and Piccoli sidelined.
04
Grok 4.6
Cagliari win
1–0
42%
Cagliari’s WWWDL form and three clean sheets at Unipol Domus beat Bologna’s 1-4-2 start, no shutouts, and missing Orsolini plus Piccoli.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Cagliari win
1–0
42%
Cagliari's strong home form (WWWDL) and three clean sheets contrast with Bologna's four losses and zero clean sheets. Bologna's attack is weakened without Orsolini and Piccoli, so a low-scoring home win fits.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Cagliari win
1–0
55%
Cagliari in strong form (WWWDL) with 3 clean sheets; Bologna missing Orsolini and Piccoli, 0 clean sheets, failed to score 3 times. Low-scoring 1-0 fits both teams' profiles.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Cagliari win
1–0
58%
Cagliari in better form (WWWDL), Bologna struggling (0 clean sheets, 3 failed to score). Home edge and recent tempo favor narrow win.
08
Kimi K3
Cagliari win
1–0
52%
Cagliari's strong home form (4W in 7) and Bologna's missing attackers (Orsolini, Piccoli) plus zero clean sheets point to a narrow home win in a low-scoring match.
09
GLM 5.3
Cagliari win
1–0
52%
Cagliari's strong home form (4W, 3 clean sheets) meets a Bologna side without Orsolini and Piccoli and no clean sheets; low-scoring hosts edge it.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Cagliari win
1–0
42%
Cagliari's strong form (WWWDL) and three clean sheets face a Bologna side winless in five, missing Orsolini and Piccoli, and without a clean sheet all season. H2H favors Bologna, but current squads and form point to a narrow home win.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

9 of 10 models settled on 1–0. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–0
    9 models
  • 2–1
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
Cagliari
0–2
Bologna
Nicolo Casale 57'
Federico Bernardeschi 80' (pen)
Pro

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 2.88 / 2.90 / 2.70
Cagliari Market 33% · AI 92%
Draw Market 32% · AI 0%
Bologna Market 35% · AI 8%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 12 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Cagliari vs Bologna

Cagliari

4-3-2-1
F. Pisacane
31 P. Mendy
31 Mendy
70 D. Maldini
70 Maldini
79 Y. Massolin
79 Massolin
4 A. Romano
4 Romano
6 H. Winks
6 Winks
8 M. Adopo
8 Adopo
33 A. Obert
33 Obert
15 J. Rodríguez
15 Rodríguez
14 A. Deiola
14 Deiola
2 Zé Pedro
2 Pedro
1 E. Caprile
1 Caprile

Bench: Ivan Stoyanov Sulev, A. Fadera, G. Aurelio, R. Ciervo, J. Fazzini, R. Gagliardini, Kevin Carlos, R. Kofler, J. Liteta, Y. Mina, M'Bala Nzola, B. Radunović, A. Sherri, Y. Sugawara, A. Sugamele

Bologna

3-4-3
Raffaele Palladino
28 N. Cambiaghi
28 Cambiaghi
21 J. Odgaard
21 Odgaard
10 F. Bernardeschi
10 Bernardeschi
33 Juan Miranda
33 Miranda
4 T. Pobega
4 Pobega
19 L. Ferguson
19 Ferguson
20 N. Zortea
20 Zortea
3 A. Theate
3 Theate
16 N. Casale
16 Casale
36 M. Darmian
36 Darmian
1 Ł. Skorupski
1 Skorupski

Bench: N. Moro, M. Pessina, M. Vitík, S. Mbangula, M. Libra, T. Heggem, U. Happonen, E. Helland, J. Enem, O. El Azzouzi, A. Dovbyk, L. De Silvestri, R. Alhassane, M. Amondarain

Season data

Serie A numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Cagliari

4-3-2-1
W-D-L
4-1-4
Goals
8-13
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
3
Best win run
3
Penalties
2/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Bologna

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
3-2-4
Goals
12-12
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
3
Best win run
1
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Cagliari

  • D. Maldini 5 G · 0 A · 9 apps

Key players · Bologna

  • Juan Miranda 0 G · 4 A · 8 apps
  • N. Cambiaghi 0 G · 2 A · 9 apps

Top scorers · Serie A

  1. 1 Gustavo Varela Monza 8
  2. 2 D. Malen AS Roma 7
  3. 3 A. Raimondo Frosinone 7
  4. 4 N. Krstović Atalanta 6
  5. 5 M. Thuram Inter 5
Venue Unipol Domus, Cagliari
Referee Kevin Bonacina
New at Cagliari Y. Sugawara (Southampton), M'Bala Nzola (Fiorentina), R. Gagliardini (Hellas Verona)
New at Bologna M. Darmian (Inter), F. Cassa (Atalanta), J. Enem (FK Crvena Zvezda)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Cagliari

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 49% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.10 vs 0.10

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Cagliari Bologna Expected total Lean Actual
Corners 4.5 3.4 7.9 Over 7.5 53% 7 miss Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.3 2.0 3.3 Under 3.5 59% 4 miss Ask AI
Shots 11.7 11.6 23.3 Under 23.5 53% 14 hit Ask AI
Shots on target 3.4 3.7 7.1 Under 7.5 58% 6 hit Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 249 graded matches, cards 58% of 250. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

Result check

Actual Bologna win · AI Cagliari win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Cagliari
#9 · 13 PTS · GD -5
Last 5
L L L D W
4 GF · 11 GA
Recent fixtures
  • AS Roma 4-2 L
  • Bologna 0-2 L
  • Monza 4-0 L
  • Juventus 1-1 D
  • Udinese 0-1 W
Team news
M. Felici — Knee Injury R. Idrissi — Knee Injury Y. Trepy — Injury
Bologna
#13 · 8 PTS · GD -2
Last 5
W W L W D
10 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • AC Milan 2-4 W
  • Cagliari 0-2 W
  • Inter 1-3 L
  • Lecce 1-2 W
  • Torino 1-1 D
Team news
E. Holm — Thigh Injury R. Orsolini — Thigh Injury R. Piccoli — Hamstring Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

CAG 0 · D 1 · BOL 4

CAG VS BOL
0-2
AWAY WIN
Oct 24, 2026
BOL VS CAG
0-0
DRAW
May 3, 2026
CAG VS BOL
0-2
AWAY WIN
Oct 19, 2025
BOL VS CAG
2-1
HOME WIN
Mar 2, 2025
CAG VS BOL
0-2
AWAY WIN
Oct 29, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Cagliari, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Serie A games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Cagliari
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Bologna
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.20 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 1.5 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Cagliari is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.20 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Cagliari win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Cagliari vs Bologna in Serie A? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 0; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Cagliari win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Cagliari vs Bologna, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.