BOR 2-1 WER · 52% RBL 2-1 EIN · 51% 189 2-1 HAM · 48% SCF 2-0 FCS · 54% FCA 1-3 BAY · 56% FSV 1-2 BAY · 47% UNI 2-0 SVE · 51% 1.F 2-2 BOR · 43% SCP 1-2 VFB · 45% LIV 1-1 MAN · 44% ARS 3-0 LEE · 60% CHE 2-1 BOU · 47% MAN 2-1 TOT · 45% AST 2-1 BRE · 45% BOR 2-1 WER · 52% RBL 2-1 EIN · 51% 189 2-1 HAM · 48% SCF 2-0 FCS · 54% FCA 1-3 BAY · 56% FSV 1-2 BAY · 47% UNI 2-0 SVE · 51% 1.F 2-2 BOR · 43% SCP 1-2 VFB · 45% LIV 1-1 MAN · 44% ARS 3-0 LEE · 60% CHE 2-1 BOU · 47% MAN 2-1 TOT · 45% AST 2-1 BRE · 45%
UEFA Nations League · League B - 4 Sep 29, 2026 · 18:45 · UTC Hristo Botev Stadium, Plovdiv Match Finished · 90'

Bulgaria
vs
Estonia.

Quick answer

Who will win Bulgaria vs Estonia?

Final score: Bulgaria 0–0 Estonia. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Bulgaria to win (100%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 1–0.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Bulgaria form Estonia form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 61% of the time (453 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Bulgaria (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–0 at 45% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

10 AI models · council in session Live match data · Pro

Still not sure? Ask 10 AIs at once:
“Will Bulgaria beat Estonia in their upcoming match?”

Every model votes yes or no and defends it in a sentence or two. Attach this match's last-5 form, head-to-head and the picks above so they argue from real data — then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask the Council Free today · sign in with Google to convene the council
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Bulgaria win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Estonia win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Bulgaria win
1–0
52%
With no form or head-to-head data supplied, Bulgaria’s home advantage is the clearest differentiator. Estonia can keep the game close, making a narrow, low-scoring home win the best estimate.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Bulgaria win
2–1
50%
Bulgaria hosts a similarly modest League C rival; both sides prone to defensive lapses, slight home edge favors a narrow win.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Bulgaria win
1–0
62%
Bulgaria hold the home advantage in League C and generally show stronger defensive structure against lower-seeded opposition like Estonia, pointing to a tight, low-scoring victory.
04
Grok 4.6
Bulgaria win
1–0
52%
League C home edge for Bulgaria over Estonia; both sides usually low-scoring, so a narrow 1-0 is the best exact guess with thin 2026 context.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Bulgaria win
1–0
58%
Bulgaria's home advantage in a Nations League C fixture against a typically defensive Estonia should produce a tight, low-scoring contest settled by one goal.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Bulgaria win
1–0
58%
Bulgaria slightly stronger at home in Nations League C; Estonia typically low-scoring away, suggesting a tight, low-margin home win.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Bulgaria win
1–0
60%
Bulgaria slightly favored at home in League C; Estonia’s defensive record often tight but low-scoring.
08
Kimi K3
Bulgaria win
1–0
48%
Bulgaria hold a slight edge in League C with home advantage, but both sides typically play low-tempo, defensive football with limited goal output.
09
GLM 5.3
Bulgaria win
1–0
52%
Bulgaria at home in League C should edge limited Estonia; no H2H data available, so a tight low-scoring home win fits Nations League C tempo.
10
MiMo V2.5 Pro
Bulgaria win
1–0
62%
Bulgaria's home advantage and a likely tight, low-scoring Nations League match against a defensively organized Estonia side suggest a narrow home victory.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

9 of 10 models settled on 1–0. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–0
    9 models
  • 2–1
    1 model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Bulgaria vs Estonia in UEFA Nations League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 0; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Bulgaria win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Bulgaria vs Estonia, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Bulgaria

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 45% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.10 vs 0.10

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model
Result check

Actual Draw · AI Bulgaria win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Bulgaria
—
Last 5
L D L
1 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Iceland 3-0 L
  • Estonia 0-0 D
  • Luxembourg 1-2 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Estonia
—
Last 5
W D D
2 GF · 1 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Luxembourg 1-0 W
  • Bulgaria 0-0 D
  • Iceland 1-1 D
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

BUL 0 · D 1 · EST 0

BUL VS EST
0-0
DRAW
Sep 29, 2026

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Bulgaria, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight UEFA Nations League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Bulgaria
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Estonia
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.20 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 1.5 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Bulgaria is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.20 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Bulgaria win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

Related matches

— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.