ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8 Oct 9, 2026 · 18:30 · UTC Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund Match Finished · 90'

Borussia Dortmund
vs
Werder Bremen.

Quick answer

Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?

Final score: Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen. Before kickoff, 12 of 12 AI models pick Borussia Dortmund to win (100%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 2–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Borussia Dortmund form Werder Bremen form

All 12 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (751 matches).

12 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Borussia Dortmund (12 of 12 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 53% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Bundesliga table Where Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Borussia Dortmund win 100%

12 / 12 models

Draw 0%

0 / 12 models

Werder Bremen win 0%

0 / 12 models

— Model breakdown

12 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Borussia Dortmund win
2–0
68%
Dortmund's strong home form and recent dominance over Bremen suggest a comfortable win at Signal Iduna Park.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Borussia Dortmund win
2–1
58%
Dortmund's home strength at Signal Iduna Park and recent H2H dominance favor them, though Bremen's away goals suggest a competitive scoreline.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Borussia Dortmund win
2–0
68%
Dortmund boasts a strong home advantage at Signal Iduna Park and has kept clean sheets against Bremen in their recent 2026 meetings. A solid home win seems the most likely outcome.
04
Grok 4.6
Borussia Dortmund win
2–1
57%
Dortmund's home edge at Signal Iduna Park and repeated H2H control support a narrow win over mid-table Bremen.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Borussia Dortmund win
2–0
65%
Dortmund's strong home form and recent H2H dominance suggest a controlled win.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Borussia Dortmund win
2–1
65%
Dortmund's strong home form and recent history of narrow wins support a home victory. Bremen's resilience suggests they might score once.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Borussia Dortmund win
2–1
62%
Dortmund’s home strength and recent H2H dominance suggest a narrow win; Bremen’s attack may nick one.
08
Kimi K3
Borussia Dortmund win
2–1
58%
Dortmund's attacking quality and Signal Iduna Park home advantage typically overwhelm mid-table Bundesliga sides, though Bremen's counter-attacking threat suggests they can score. Open game expected with Dortmund edging it.
09
GLM 5.3
Borussia Dortmund win
2–1
58%
Dortmund's Signal Iduna Park advantage and attacking depth against Bremen's leaky defense favor a home win; Bremen usually scores on the road, so 2-1 fits.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Borussia Dortmund win
2–0
65%
Dortmund's recent H2H dominance with clean sheets and home venue edge suggest a win without conceding, despite Bremen's potential to change.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

7 of 12 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    7 models
  • 2–0
    4 models
  • 1–0
    1 model

Season data

Bundesliga numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Borussia Dortmund

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
5-2-0
Goals
12-4
Clean sheets
5
Failed to score
1
Best win run
4
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Werder Bremen

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
3-3-1
Goals
15-14
Clean sheets
0
Failed to score
0
Best win run
1
Penalties
3/3
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Borussia Dortmund

  • S. Guirassy 2 G · 2 A · 7 apps

Key players · Werder Bremen

  • N. Füllkrug 8 G · 0 A · 7 apps
  • M. Grüll 2 G · 5 A · 7 apps

Top scorers · Bundesliga

  1. 1 N. Füllkrug Werder Bremen 8
  2. 2 M. Olise Bayern München 6
  3. 3 P. Schick Bayer Leverkusen 6
  4. 4 Y. Ebnoutalib Eintracht Frankfurt 5
  5. 5 P. Tietz FSV Mainz 05 5
Venue Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Referee Christian Dingert
New at Borussia Dortmund E. Nwaneri (Arsenal), Enzo Dos Santos (Borussia Dortmund), J. Veerman (PSV Eindhoven)
New at Werder Bremen Arthur (Bayer Leverkusen), M. N'Diaye (Anderlecht), Y. Regeer (Ajax)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Borussia Dortmund

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 53% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 2.00 vs 0.60

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Borussia Dortmund Werder Bremen Expected total Lean Actual
Corners 6.5 4.9 11.3 Under 11.5 54% 12 miss Ask AI
Yellow cards 2.0 2.1 4.1 Under 4.5 62% 3 hit Ask AI
Shots 14.9 11.7 26.6 Under 26.5 51% 32 miss Ask AI
Shots on target 5.4 3.5 8.9 Over 8.5 53% 13 hit Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 249 graded matches, cards 58% of 250. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

Result check

Actual Draw · AI Borussia Dortmund win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Borussia Dortmund
#2 · 17 PTS · GD +8
Last 5
W W W D L
6 GF · 4 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Werder Bremen 3-2 W
  • Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 W
  • Sabah FA 1-2 W
  • Union Berlin 0-0 D
  • Bodo/Glimt 1-0 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Werder Bremen
#6 · 12 PTS · GD +1
Last 5
L W D D W
12 GF · 11 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Borussia Dortmund 3-2 L
  • FSV Mainz 05 2-3 W
  • SC Paderborn 07 2-2 D
  • Borussia Dortmund 2-2 D
  • FC Augsburg 3-2 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

BOR 3 · D 2 · WER 0

BOR VS WER
3-2
HOME WIN
Oct 27, 2026
BOR VS WER
2-2
DRAW
Oct 9, 2026
WER VS BOR
0-2
AWAY WIN
May 16, 2026
BOR VS WER
3-0
HOME WIN
Jan 13, 2026
BOR VS WER
2-2
DRAW
Jan 25, 2025

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Borussia Dortmund, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Bundesliga games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Borussia Dortmund
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Werder Bremen
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.60 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.9 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Borussia Dortmund is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.60 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Borussia Dortmund win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen in Bundesliga? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Borussia Dortmund win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.