ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
Serie A · Regular Season - 9 Oct 31, 2026 · 14:00 · UTC Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna Not Started

Bologna
vs
Monza.

Quick answer

Who will win Bologna vs Monza?

10 of 10 AI models pick Bologna to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 2–1 at 52% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Bologna form Monza form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (751 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Bologna (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 52% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Serie A table Where Bologna and Monza stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Bologna win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Monza win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Bologna win
2–1
56%
Bologna's home advantage and consistently favorable recent H2H support a narrow win, but Monza have scored in every league match and Gustavo Varela's form points to a competitive, open game.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Bologna win
2–1
50%
Bologna's strong home H2H dominance and better defensive record favor them, but Monza score in every game, suggesting a tight, open contest.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Bologna win
2–1
52%
Monza scores consistently thanks to in-form Varela but concedes heavily (18 in 8). Bologna's strong home record in this fixture gives them the edge to edge out a victory.
04
Grok 4.6
Bologna win
2–1
52%
Bologna’s recent home H2H (3-1, 4-0) plus venue edge outweigh mixed form. Monza always scores (15 goals, 0 blanks) so a 2-1 home win fits better than a shutout.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Bologna win
2–1
52%
Bologna's strong H2H at home and Monza's leaky defence (18 conceded) support a narrow home win, though Bologna's own poor form adds uncertainty.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Bologna win
2–1
48%
Bologna's H2H dominance at home and Monza's leaky defense (18 conceded) support a home win, but Monza always scores, making a clean sheet unlikely.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Bologna win
2–1
58%
Bologna's recent H2H dominance and home form edge, but Monza's attack (15 goals) keeps it tight.
08
Kimi K3
Bologna win
2–1
52%
Bologna's H2H dominance at home (3-1, 4-0) and venue edge outweigh Monza's scoring form; Varela likely nets but hosts prevail narrowly.
09
GLM 5.3
Bologna win
2–1
52%
Bologna's shaky form (2W 4L) is offset by strong H2H dominance and home edge; Monza concede freely but Varela's 7 goals keep them scoring, so 2-1 fits.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Bologna win
2–1
45%
Bologna's home edge and strong recent H2H (3-1, 4-0) versus Monza's leaky defense (18 conceded); Monza's Varela keeps them scoring, so a narrow 2-1 fits better than a shutout.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

10 of 10 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    10 models

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.67 / 3.80 / 5.00
Bologna Market 56% · AI 100%
Draw Market 25% · AI 0%
Monza Market 19% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Predicted lineups: Bologna vs Monza

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

Bologna

3-4-3 · XI v AC Milan, 28 Oct
Raffaele Palladino
11 S. Mbangula
11 Mbangula
21 J. Odgaard
21 Odgaard
10 F. Bernardeschi
10 Bernardeschi
23 R. Alhassane
23 Alhassane
19 L. Ferguson
19 Ferguson
4 T. Pobega
4 Pobega
20 N. Zortea
20 Zortea
3 A. Theate
3 Theate
16 N. Casale
16 Casale
36 M. Darmian
36 Darmian
1 Ł. Skorupski
1 Skorupski

Monza

3-4-2-1 · XI v Napoli, 28 Oct
I. Juric
24 A. Bakoune
24 Bakoune
19 S. Birindelli
19 Birindelli
21 L. Colombo
21 Colombo
2 S. Goglichidze
2 Goglichidze
3 L. Lucchesi
3 Lucchesi
7 Ricardo Mangas
7 Mangas
16 C. Ngonge
16 Ngonge
8 M. Ondoa
8 Ondoa
46 Jay Robinson
46 Robinson
9 Gustavo Varela
9 Varela
1 N. Törnqvist
1 Törnqvist

Season data

Serie A numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Bologna

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
3-2-4
Goals
12-12
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
3
Best win run
1
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Monza

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
2-1-6
Goals
16-22
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
0
Best win run
1
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Bologna

  • Juan Miranda 0 G · 4 A · 8 apps
  • N. Cambiaghi 0 G · 2 A · 9 apps

Key players · Monza

  • Gustavo Varela 8 G · 1 A · 8 apps
  • Ricardo Mangas 1 G · 2 A · 9 apps

Top scorers · Serie A

  1. 1 Gustavo Varela Monza 8
  2. 2 D. Malen AS Roma 7
  3. 3 A. Raimondo Frosinone 7
  4. 4 N. Krstović Atalanta 6
  5. 5 M. Thuram Inter 5
Venue Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
New at Bologna M. Darmian (Inter), F. Cassa (Atalanta), J. Enem (FK Crvena Zvezda)
New at Monza S. Goglichidze (Udinese), E. Zeballos (Boca Juniors), N. Törnqvist (Como)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Bologna

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 52% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 2.00 vs 1.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Bologna Monza Expected total Lean
Corners 4.9 4.2 9.1 Under 9.5 57% Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.6 1.7 3.3 Under 3.5 58% Ask AI
Shots 13.4 13.3 26.7 Over 26.5 50% Ask AI
Shots on target 3.6 5.1 8.7 Over 8.5 50% Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 249 graded matches, cards 58% of 250. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Bologna
#13 · 8 PTS · GD -2
Last 5
W W L W D
10 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • AC Milan 2-4 W
  • Cagliari 0-2 W
  • Inter 1-3 L
  • Lecce 1-2 W
  • Torino 1-1 D
Team news
E. Holm — Thigh Injury R. Orsolini — Thigh Injury R. Piccoli — Hamstring Injury L. De Silvestri — Muscle Injury J. Enem — Achilles Tendon Injury
Monza
#15 · 7 PTS · GD -3
Last 5
L L W L D
10 GF · 12 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Napoli 1-4 L
  • Torino 3-2 L
  • Cagliari 4-0 W
  • Lazio 3-1 L
  • Stade Brestois 29 2-2 D
Team news
M. Pessina — Knee Injury J. Ziolkowski — Foot Injury M. Folorunsho — Coach's decision Y. Maye — Muscle Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

BOL 2 · D 2 · MON 1

BOL VS MON
3-1
HOME WIN
Jan 18, 2025
MON VS BOL
1-2
AWAY WIN
Sep 22, 2024
BOL VS MON
0-0
DRAW
Apr 13, 2024
MON VS BOL
0-0
DRAW
Sep 28, 2023
BOL VS MON
0-1
AWAY WIN
Feb 12, 2023

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Bologna, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Serie A games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Bologna
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Monza
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 3.00 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3.3 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Bologna is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 3.00 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Bologna win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Bologna vs Monza in Serie A? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Bologna win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Bologna vs Monza, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.