ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 48% KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 48% KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
Championship · Regular Season - 13 Nov 3, 2026 · 19:45 · UTC Ewood Park, Blackburn Not Started

Blackburn
vs
Stoke City.

Quick answer

Who will win Blackburn vs Stoke City?

1 of 10 AI models pick Blackburn to win (10%). A draw is in play: 9 of 10 models picked it. The mean predicted score is 1–1 at 40% average confidence (low).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Blackburn form Stoke City form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 40% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Championship table Where Blackburn and Stoke City stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Blackburn win 10%

1 / 10 models

Draw 90%

9 / 10 models

Stoke City win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Draw
1–1
31%
Both sides have similar records and goal totals, while Blackburn’s home advantage is balanced by Stoke’s slightly stronger recent sequence. Their last two meetings ended 1-1, supporting another cautious, closely matched draw.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Blackburn win
2–1
47%
Blackburn's Guðjohnsen in strong form and home advantage give slight edge; H2H has been tight, Stoke clean sheets suggest low-margin game.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
48%
Both sides possess nearly identical records and defensive profiles this season. With their last two head-to-head meetings finishing level at 1-1, another tight, evenly matched draw is the most likely outcome.
04
Grok 4.7
Draw
1–1
32%
Nearly identical records and goal tallies; last two H2H were 1-1. Both rarely blank, so a tight shared-points game at Ewood fits better than a home or away win.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Draw
1–1
48%
Evenly matched sides with near-identical records and two 1-1 draws in their last two meetings; Blackburn's home edge is offset by Stoke's stronger recent form.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Draw
1–1
48%
Last two H2H meetings ended 1-1; both teams closely matched in form and goals, with neither showing clear dominance at Ewood Park recently.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Draw
1–1
32%
Even records 19-16 vs 18-16, both failed to score once, last two meetings 1-1. Gudjohnsen gives Blackburn edge but Stoke form holds.
08
Kimi K3
Draw
1–1
48%
Evenly matched sides with similar records; two of last three H2H finished 1-1, and both teams score and concede at near-identical rates.
09
GLM 5.3
Draw
1–1
28%
Nearly identical records (19-16 vs 18-16 goals) and last two H2H meetings ended 1-1; low-scoring, evenly matched Championship fixture at Ewood Park.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Draw
1–1
42%
Two closely matched sides with identical 16 goals conceded; last two H2H finished 1-1 and both attacks are steady. Guðjohnsen's form gives Blackburn threat but Stoke's resilience keeps this level.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

9 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    9 models
  • 2–1
    1 model

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Marathonbet · 2.39 / 3.36 / 2.78
Blackburn Market 39% · AI 9%
Draw Market 28% · AI 91%
Stoke City Market 33% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 11 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Predicted lineups: Blackburn vs Stoke City

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

Blackburn

4-2-3-1 · XI v Wrexham, 24 Oct
Tony Mowbray
9 A. Guðjohnsen
9 Guðjohnsen
21 O. Afolayan
21 Afolayan
10 T. Cantwell
10 Cantwell
11 J. Fevrier
11 Fevrier
24 M. Baradji
24 Baradji
8 Sam Morsy
8 Morsy
3 H. Pickering
3 Pickering
15 S. McLoughlin
15 McLoughlin
17 H. Carter
17 Carter
2 R. Alebiosu
2 Alebiosu
22 B. Tóth
22 Tóth

Stoke City

3-4-3 · XI v Bristol City, 24 Oct
M. Robins
13 J. Devenny
13 Devenny
11 L. Cissé
11 Cissé
7 J. McGlynn
7 McGlynn
21 L. Bombino
21 Bombino
8 E. Galbraith
8 Galbraith
27 El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
27 Soumaré
2 B. Johnson
2 Johnson
5 L. Graham
5 Graham
18 B. Lawal
18 Lawal
16 B. Wilmot
16 Wilmot
1 V. Johansson
1 Johansson

Season data

Championship numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Blackburn

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
5-3-4
Goals
19-16
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
1
Best win run
2
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Stoke City

3-4-3
W-D-L
6-2-4
Goals
18-16
Clean sheets
4
Failed to score
1
Best win run
3
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Blackburn

  • A. Guðjohnsen 8 G · 1 A · 11 apps
  • O. Afolayan 4 G · 2 A · 12 apps

Key players · Stoke City

  • E. Galbraith 3 G · 3 A · 12 apps

Top scorers · Championship

  1. 1 W. Lankshear Middlesbrough 11
  2. 2 A. Guðjohnsen Blackburn 8
  3. 3 C. Larin Southampton 7
  4. 4 J. Bowen West Ham 6
  5. 5 J. Moylan Cardiff 6
Venue Ewood Park, Blackburn
New at Blackburn Gady Beyuku (Modena), J. Fevrier (Stockport County), M. Baradji (Yverdon Sport)
New at Stoke City L. Bombino (San Diego), J. McGlynn (Houston Dynamo), J. Devenny (Crystal Palace)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

90% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Low confidence

Mean 40% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.10 vs 1.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Blackburn Stoke City Expected total Lean
Corners 4.9 5.4 10.4 Under 10.5 54% Ask AI
Yellow cards 2.4 2.2 4.6 Under 4.5 51% Ask AI
Shots 11.9 11.4 23.3 Under 23.5 53% Ask AI
Shots on target 3.2 2.8 6.0 Over 5.5 55% Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 249 graded matches, cards 58% of 250. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Blackburn
#10 · 18 PTS · GD +3
Last 5
W L W W D
9 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Wrexham 2-0 W
  • West Brom 3-2 L
  • Bristol City 0-1 W
  • Cardiff 2-1 W
  • Portsmouth 2-2 D
Team news
M. Baradji — Hamstring Injury D. De Neve — Injury M. Jorgensen — Injury A. Kargbo — Muscle Injury L. Miller — Achilles Tendon Injury S. Wharton — Achilles Tendon Injury M. Litherland — Muscle Injury Y. Ohashi — Inactive H. Pickering — Inactive T. Atcheson — Red Card A. Forshaw — Hip Injury Y. Ribeiro — Hamstring Injury
Stoke City
#9 · 20 PTS · GD +2
Last 5
D W L W W
7 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Bristol City 0-0 D
  • Derby 0-1 W
  • Middlesbrough 2-3 L
  • Bolton 1-2 W
  • Sheffield Utd 2-1 W
Team news
A. Ampah — Hamstring Injury A. Cresswell — Injury J. Tchamadeu — Knee Injury L. Cisse — Knock B. Lawal — Health problems B. Gibson — Head Injury S. Ingelsson — Injury S. Gallagher — Injury M. Talovierov — Red Card E. Bocat — Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

BLA 1 · D 2 · STO 2

STO VS BLA
1-1
DRAW
Apr 11, 2026
BLA VS STO
1-1
DRAW
Oct 4, 2025
STO VS BLA
1-0
HOME WIN
Mar 12, 2025
BLA VS STO
0-2
AWAY WIN
Nov 6, 2024
BLA VS STO
3-1
HOME WIN
Feb 10, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 10% of models side with Blackburn, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 90% — tight Championship games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Blackburn
~10%
implied lean
Draw
~90%
implied lean
Stoke City
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.10 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.4 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Blackburn is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.10 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Blackburn win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Blackburn vs Stoke City in Championship? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Blackburn win, with vote shares roughly 10% / 90% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Blackburn vs Stoke City, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.