ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 48% KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 48% KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9 Sep 20, 2026 · 13:00 · UTC Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre Match Finished · 90'

Auxerre
vs
Stade Brestois 29.

Quick answer

Who will win Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29?

Final score: Auxerre 2–1 Stade Brestois 29. Before kickoff, 7 of 10 AI models pick Auxerre to win (70%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 2–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Auxerre form Stade Brestois 29 form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Auxerre (7 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 45% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Ligue 1 table Where Auxerre and Stade Brestois 29 stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Auxerre win 70%

7 / 10 models

Draw 30%

3 / 10 models

Stade Brestois 29 win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Draw
1–1
62%
Both teams have shown mixed form; previous meetings suggest a balanced contest at Auxerre's venue.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Auxerre win
2–1
48%
Auxerre have won home meetings recently (3-0 last two at home) and host advantage; Brest remain competitive enough to score, favoring a narrow home win.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
45%
Auxerre has dominated recent home H2H meetings, but Brest remains a solid side. Early in the season, a tight, balanced affair is likely, making a low-scoring draw a plausible outcome.
04
Grok 4.7
Auxerre win
1–0
48%
Auxerre home H2H shows clean-sheet wins; early Ligue 1 fixture at their venue favors narrow low-scoring result.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Auxerre win
2–1
62%
Auxerre's strong home record vs Brest and recent H2H dominance suggest a narrow home win.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Auxerre win
2–1
60%
Auxerre's strong home form and recent head-to-head advantage suggest a narrow home win.
07
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Auxerre win
1–0
60%
Last H2H at Auxerre was a 3-0 win, but with squad changes, a narrow home win is plausible; venue advantage supports this.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

4 of 10 models settled on 2–1. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 2–1
    4 models
  • 1–1
    3 models
  • 1–0
    3 models

Season data

Ligue 1 numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Auxerre

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
3-1-4
Goals
12-18
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
0
Best win run
2
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Stade Brestois 29

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
2-3-3
Goals
14-12
Clean sheets
0
Failed to score
1
Best win run
1
Penalties
2/3
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Auxerre

  • C. Archer 5 G · 0 A · 6 apps
  • D. Namaso 3 G · 2 A · 8 apps
  • R. Faivre 1 G · 2 A · 8 apps

Key players · Stade Brestois 29

  • K. Doumbia 4 G · 1 A · 8 apps
  • L. Ajorque 3 G · 1 A · 8 apps

Top scorers · Ligue 1

  1. 1 E. Lepaul Rennes 7
  2. 2 L. Sinayoko Paris FC 6
  3. 3 C. Archer Auxerre 5
  4. 4 A. Gouiri Marseille 5
  5. 5 C. Tengstedt Toulouse 5
Venue Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
Referee Guillaume Paradis
New at Auxerre Y. Khoudda (Auxerre), C. Archer (Southampton), A. Tuanzebe (Burnley)
New at Stade Brestois 29 G. Versini (PAU), D. N'Guessan (Saint Etienne), E. Monchatre (Stade Briochin)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Auxerre

70% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Low confidence

Mean 45% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.43 vs 0.71

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Auxerre Stade Brestois 29 Expected total Lean
Corners 5.4 3.7 9.1 Under 9.5 58% Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.5 1.7 3.1 Under 3.5 61% Ask AI
Shots 12.1 9.8 21.9 Over 21.5 52% Ask AI
Shots on target 4.4 3.0 7.3 Under 7.5 55% Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 249 graded matches, cards 58% of 250. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

Result check

Actual Auxerre win · AI Auxerre win

1X2: Miss Score: Exact
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Auxerre
#12 · 10 PTS · GD -6
Last 5
D W L W W
11 GF · 10 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Le Mans 1-1 D
  • Le Havre 1-3 W
  • Rennes 4-1 L
  • Clermont Foot 4-3 W
  • Stade Brestois 29 2-1 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Stade Brestois 29
#13 · 9 PTS · GD +2
Last 5
L D W D L
10 GF · 8 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Nice 1-2 L
  • Lille 1-1 D
  • Angers 5-1 W
  • Monza 2-2 D
  • Auxerre 2-1 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

AUX 3 · D 1 · STA 1

AUX VS STA
2-1
HOME WIN
Sep 20, 2026
AUX VS STA
3-0
HOME WIN
Mar 21, 2026
STA VS AUX
2-0
HOME WIN
Jan 4, 2026
STA VS AUX
2-2
DRAW
Feb 14, 2025
AUX VS STA
3-0
HOME WIN
Sep 27, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 70% of models side with Auxerre, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 30% — tight Ligue 1 games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Auxerre
~70%
implied lean
Draw
~30%
implied lean
Stade Brestois 29
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.14 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.4 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Auxerre is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.14 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Auxerre win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29 in Ligue 1? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Auxerre win, with vote shares roughly 70% / 30% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.