UNI 1-0 FCS · 57% REN 1-2 MAR · 58% VEN 1-1 FIO · 57% GEN 1-0 FRO · 57% BOR 3-1 SCP · 67% 189 1-1 VFB · 57% SCF 2-1 BOR · 59% FCA 1-2 BAY · 60% FSV 1-1 EIN · 57% CHE 2-0 HUL · 67% LIV 2-1 FUL · 65% AST 2-1 NOT · 62% BOU 1-1 BRE · 57% CRY 1-0 IPS · 60% UNI 1-0 FCS · 57% REN 1-2 MAR · 58% VEN 1-1 FIO · 57% GEN 1-0 FRO · 57% BOR 3-1 SCP · 67% 189 1-1 VFB · 57% SCF 2-1 BOR · 59% FCA 1-2 BAY · 60% FSV 1-1 EIN · 57% CHE 2-0 HUL · 67% LIV 2-1 FUL · 65% AST 2-1 NOT · 62% BOU 1-1 BRE · 57% CRY 1-0 IPS · 60%
La Liga · Regular Season - 4 Aug 28, 2026 · 19:30 · UTC Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz Match Finished · 90'

Alaves
vs
Villarreal.

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (7 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 57% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Alaves win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 70%

7 / 10 models

Villarreal win 30%

3 / 10 models

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— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Villarreal win
2–3
63%
Villarreal's recent form and superior squad depth suggest a narrow win despite Alaves' home advantage.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Villarreal win
1–2
52%
Villarreal generally have stronger squad depth and recent H2H shows they've often outscored Alaves away; Mendizorrotza keeps it tight but Villarreal edge it.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
60%
Alaves are traditionally stubborn at Mendizorrotza, as seen in their recent 1-1 and 1-0 home results against Villarreal. Early in the season, a tight draw is a highly probable outcome.
04
Grok 4.6
Draw
1–1
48%
Recent H2H at Mendizorrotza shows repeated 1-1 draws; early-season caution at Alaves' home favors another low-scoring stalemate.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Draw
1–1
60%
Recent H2H draws and balanced form suggest a tight match; both teams likely to score but neither dominates.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Villarreal win
1–2
60%
Villarreal's strong away form and recent history suggest a narrow win, with Alaves likely to score at home.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Draw
1–1
60%
Recent H2H shows frequent draws; both teams defensively solid at home/away, likely sharing points in a balanced contest.
08
Llama 3.1 70B Instruct
Draw
1–1
62%
Recent head-to-heads show a mix of close scores; Alaves' home advantage is offset by Villarreal's stronger overall form.
09
Cohere Command R+ (08-2024)
Draw
1–1
50%
Recent meetings have been tight, with 1-1 and 0-0 results in the last two games. Both teams have started the season in good form, so a close game is likely.
10
MiMo V2.5 Pro
Draw
1–1
55%
H2H at Alaves' home shows two 1-1 draws in the last three meetings, indicating a likely tight game without current form data.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

7 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    7 models
  • 1–2
    2 models
  • 2–3
    1 model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Alaves vs Villarreal in La Liga? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Draw, with vote shares roughly 0% / 70% / 30% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Alaves vs Villarreal, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

70% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 57% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.10 vs 1.40

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model
Result check

Actual Alaves win · AI Draw

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Alaves
Last 5
0 GF · 0 GA
Recent fixtures
  • No recent fixtures in the current window.
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Villarreal
Last 5
0 GF · 0 GA
Recent fixtures
  • No recent fixtures in the current window.
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Alaves, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 70% — tight La Liga games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Alaves
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~70%
implied lean
Villarreal
~30%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.50 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.8 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Alaves is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.50 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Draw. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

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