ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
La Liga · Regular Season - 11 Aug 15, 2026 · 17:30 · UTC Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz Match Finished · 90'

Alaves
vs
Getafe.

Quick answer

Who will win Alaves vs Getafe?

Final score: Alaves 3–0 Getafe. Before kickoff, 5 of 10 AI models expect a draw (50%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 0–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Alaves form Getafe form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (5 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 0–1 at 42% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

La Liga table Where Alaves and Getafe stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Alaves win 10%

1 / 10 models

Draw 50%

5 / 10 models

Getafe win 40%

4 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Getafe win
0–1
63%
Getafe has a strong recent record against Alaves and better defensive solidity; Alaves struggles to score at home.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Draw
1–1
46%
Season opener with limited form data; Getafe has edged recent H2H meetings but Alaves is tough at Mendizorrotza, suggesting a tight, low-scoring result.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
0–0
55%
Opening day fixtures between these two pragmatic sides often lack attacking rhythm. Getafe's strong recent H2H record suggests they can frustrate Alaves, pointing to a tight, low-scoring stalemate.
04
Grok 4.6
Draw
1–1
48%
Season opener at Mendizorrotza; recent H2H at this venue low-scoring with Getafe competitive.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Draw
1–1
60%
Recent H2H shows tight matches; both teams balanced defensively. Opening game caution likely.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Getafe win
0–1
60%
Getafe's recent dominance in head-to-heads and strong defensive record suggest they can secure a narrow away win.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Getafe win
0–1
62%
Getafe’s recent H2H dominance and defensive solidity suggest a tight, low-scoring win; Alaves struggles to break down organized defenses at home.
08
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Getafe win
0–1
55%
Getafe won last two away matches at Alaves with clean sheets; H2H shows low-scoring, defensive games typical of their rivalry.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

4 of 10 models settled on 0–1. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 0–1
    4 models
  • 1–1
    4 models
  • 1–0
    1 model
  • 0–0
    1 model

Season data

La Liga numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Alaves

3-5-2
W-D-L
3-3-4
Goals
14-11
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
2
Best win run
2
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Getafe

4-4-2
W-D-L
2-3-5
Goals
5-15
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
5
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Alaves

  • M. Díaz 3 G · 4 A · 10 apps
  • L. Boyé 5 G · 0 A · 9 apps
  • Angel Pérez 0 G · 3 A · 9 apps

Key players · Getafe

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Top scorers · La Liga

  1. 1 Raphinha Barcelona 13
  2. 2 Kylian Mbappé Real Madrid 11
  3. 3 M. Zabiri Racing Santander 8
  4. 4 Lamine Yamal Barcelona 8
  5. 5 Sergio Camello Rayo Vallecano 7
Venue Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
Referee Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid
New at Alaves N. Valentini (Fiorentina), Miguel Rodríguez (Utrecht), Mikel Rodríguez (Real Sociedad)
New at Getafe Dani Carvajal (Real Madrid), Iván Azón (Como), N. Gudelj (Sevilla)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

50% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Low confidence

Mean 42% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.38 vs 0.88

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Alaves Getafe Expected total Lean
Corners 6.1 4.0 10.1 Under 10.5 57% Ask AI
Yellow cards 2.3 3.8 6.1 Under 6.5 59% Ask AI
Shots 13.6 10.6 24.3 Under 24.5 53% Ask AI
Shots on target 5.2 3.2 8.3 Under 8.5 55% Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 249 graded matches, cards 58% of 250. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

Result check

Actual Alaves win · AI Draw

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Alaves
#7 · 12 PTS · GD +3
Last 5
D L L D L
3 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Malaga 1-1 D
  • Celta Vigo 2-1 L
  • Atletico Madrid 1-2 L
  • Athletic Club 0-0 D
  • Valencia 0-1 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Getafe
#17 · 9 PTS · GD -10
Last 5
W L L D D
7 GF · 13 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Lebrijana 2-3 W
  • Athletic Club 4-0 L
  • FC Lugano 2-5 L
  • Rayo Vallecano 1-1 D
  • Universitatea Craiova 1-1 D
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

ALA 1 · D 1 · GET 3

ALA VS GET
3-0
HOME WIN
Aug 15, 2026
ALA VS GET
0-2
AWAY WIN
Feb 8, 2026
GET VS ALA
1-1
DRAW
Sep 24, 2025
ALA VS GET
0-1
AWAY WIN
Feb 9, 2025
GET VS ALA
2-0
HOME WIN
Sep 28, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 10% of models side with Alaves, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 50% — tight La Liga games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Alaves
~10%
implied lean
Draw
~50%
implied lean
Getafe
~40%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.25 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 1.5 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Alaves is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.25 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Draw. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Alaves vs Getafe in La Liga? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (0 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Draw, with vote shares roughly 10% / 50% / 40% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Alaves vs Getafe, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.