AL- 0-2 AL- · 60% AL- 2-0 ALD · 60% IFE 2-1 MAL · 53% VAS 2-0 HAL · 62% RAN 1-2 BRO · 46% ALA 1-0 KOC · 50% GOA 2-1 TEL · 54% AL- 1-2 AL- · 43% VFB 2-0 BOR · 62% STA 2-1 NIC · 50% TOR 2-1 MON · 52% KOR 0-1 KVM · 52% IPS 2-1 NOT · 47% ALA 1-0 MAL · 60% AL- 0-2 AL- · 60% AL- 2-0 ALD · 60% IFE 2-1 MAL · 53% VAS 2-0 HAL · 62% RAN 1-2 BRO · 46% ALA 1-0 KOC · 50% GOA 2-1 TEL · 54% AL- 1-2 AL- · 43% VFB 2-0 BOR · 62% STA 2-1 NIC · 50% TOR 2-1 MON · 52% KOR 0-1 KVM · 52% IPS 2-1 NOT · 47% ALA 1-0 MAL · 60%
MLB · Final Sep 26, 2026 · 23:15 Finished

Philadelphia Phillies
vs
Tampa Bay Rays.

Quick answer

Who will win Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays?

Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 1–12 Tampa Bay Rays. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Philadelphia Phillies to win (100%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 5–3.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before first pitch. Not betting advice.

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 58% of the time (237 games).

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Philadelphia Phillies (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 5–3 at 53% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Philadelphia Phillies win 100%

10 / 10 models

Tampa Bay Rays win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Philadelphia Phillies win
5–4
54%
Philadelphia's home setting supports a narrow edge in a matchup with mixed recent head-to-head results. The Phillies have shown offensive upside against Tampa Bay, but the Rays' recent 7-0 win points to a competitive, moderate-scoring game.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Philadelphia Phillies win
5–4
55%
Phillies hold home-field advantage late in season with mixed H2H results; slight edge to Philadelphia in a close, competitive contest.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Philadelphia Phillies win
5–3
61%
The Phillies hold the home-field advantage at Citizens Bank Park and carry stronger offensive depth to edge Tampa Bay's pitching in a tightly contested matchup.
04
Grok 4.6
Philadelphia Phillies win
5–3
56%
Late-season home edge for Philadelphia; H2H is mixed with both blowouts and close games, so a modest 5-3 Phillies win fits venue without overstating form.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Philadelphia Phillies win
4–2
58%
Philadelphia's home venue edge and stronger recent H2H results support them, though Tampa Bay's 7-0 win shows volatility. A moderate-scoring Phillies victory fits the matchup.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Philadelphia Phillies win
5–3
58%
Phillies at home with strong lineup depth; Rays showed competitiveness in spring H2H but Philadelphia's home advantage and offensive firepower edge this late-season matchup.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Philadelphia Phillies win
6–4
60%
Phillies home advantage and recent high-scoring wins over Rays offset by Rays' strong pitching. Close contest expected.
08
Kimi K3
Philadelphia Phillies win
5–3
58%
Phillies' deeper lineup and home park edge favor them over the Rays; H2H is mixed, so moderate confidence in a mid-scoring home win.
09
GLM 5.3
Philadelphia Phillies win
5–3
58%
H2H is split, but the Phillies' home venue and stronger lineup edge a Rays side that has shown competitive pitching in recent meetings; moderate margin expected.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Philadelphia Phillies win
4–2
58%
Phillies have a strong recent home H2H record (8-2, 7-0 wins) and the Rays' recent away form is inconsistent, suggesting a moderate home advantage.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

5 of 10 models settled on 5–3. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 5–3
    5 models
  • 5–4
    2 models
  • 4–2
    2 models
  • 6–4
    1 model
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Philadelphia Phillies

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before first pitch.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 53% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected runs tilt 4.90 vs 3.10

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays in MLB? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (5 - 3; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before first pitch.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Philadelphia Phillies win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

Related matches

— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.