JUV 2-0 REN · 59% ARA 1-2 AZA · 54% DIN 1-0 NEC · 55% FER 2-0 TOR · 64% LEC 1-1 SUN · 48% OFI 0-2 BAY · 62% UNI 2-0 HAP · 56% STU 0-1 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% INT 0-1 UNI · 52% FKJ 0-2 BRI · 59% KAU 0-2 BRA · 62% JUV 2-0 REN · 59% ARA 1-2 AZA · 54% DIN 1-0 NEC · 55% FER 2-0 TOR · 64% LEC 1-1 SUN · 48% OFI 0-2 BAY · 62% UNI 2-0 HAP · 56% STU 0-1 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% INT 0-1 UNI · 52% FKJ 0-2 BRI · 59% KAU 0-2 BRA · 62%
MLB · Semi-finals Oct 8, 2026 · 00:00 Finished

New York Yankees
vs
Tampa Bay Rays.

Quick answer

Who will win New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays?

Final score: New York Yankees 3–4 Tampa Bay Rays. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick New York Yankees to win (100%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 6–4.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before first pitch. Not betting advice.

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 58% of the time (237 games).

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward New York Yankees (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 6–4 at 51% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

New York Yankees win 100%

10 / 10 models

Tampa Bay Rays win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
New York Yankees win
5–4
56%
Recent meetings are mixed, but New York has won two of the last five and holds the venue advantage. Tampa Bay’s prior shutout wins keep this close, with a modestly high-scoring playoff game expected.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
New York Yankees win
6–4
58%
Yankees won 4 of last 5 head-to-head meetings including a blowout, and playoff home-field in a quarter-final favors them slightly.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
New York Yankees win
4–3
55%
Postseason atmosphere at Yankee Stadium gives New York a modest edge over Tampa Bay in a tight pitching duel.
04
Grok 4.6
New York Yankees win
5–3
56%
Yankees hold a slight H2H edge and home playoff venue. Rays took two of four July games, so a modest 5-3 home win fits mixed form.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
New York Yankees win
5–3
56%
Yankees have won three of the last five meetings, including a 12-run outburst in July; home venue and recent scoring edge favor them in a tight playoff-style game.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
New York Yankees win
6–3
58%
Yankees dominated recent H2H (3 of last 5 wins, including a 12-4 blowout) and hold home-field advantage in a playoff quarterfinal setting.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
New York Yankees win
6–4
58%
Yankees' home power and recent high-scoring wins vs Rays edge out Tampa’s road consistency.
08
Kimi K3
New York Yankees win
5–4
58%
Yankees took two of three at Tampa Bay in July and hold home-field for this quarter-final; Rays' pitching keeps it tight, but New York's power edge at home produces a one-run margin.
09
GLM 5.3
New York Yankees win
5–3
58%
Yankees won 3 of last 5 meetings with Tampa Bay, including a 12-run outburst, and host a playoff quarter-final; modest edge at home in a moderate-scoring game.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
New York Yankees win
6–4
58%
Yankees have a strong home H2H record, including a recent blowout, and home field advantage in a high-stakes quarter-final favors them in a moderately high-scoring game.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

3 of 10 models settled on 6–4. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before first pitch.

  • 6–4
    3 models
  • 5–3
    3 models
  • 5–4
    2 models
  • 6–3
    1 model
  • 4–3
    1 model
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors New York Yankees

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before first pitch.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 51% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected runs tilt 5.30 vs 3.50

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays in MLB? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (6 - 4; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before first pitch.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is New York Yankees win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.