MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% FAL 0-2 CEL · 62% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% FAL 0-2 CEL · 62%
MLB · Final Finished

New York Mets
vs
Baltimore Orioles.

Quick answer

Who will win New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles?

Final score: New York Mets 5–7 Baltimore Orioles. Before kickoff, 7 of 10 AI models pick New York Mets to win (70%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 5–4.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before first pitch. Not betting advice.

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward New York Mets (7 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 5–4 at 52% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

New York Mets win 70%

7 / 10 models

Baltimore Orioles win 30%

3 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
New York Mets win
5–4
52%
The Mets receive a modest home-field edge in a matchup with limited current-season information. Baltimore won three of the last five meetings, suggesting a competitive, moderately high-scoring game rather than a decisive New York margin.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
New York Mets win
4–3
55%
Mets get home-field edge late in season; H2H series has been mixed and competitive, suggesting a close, low-scoring contest.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
New York Mets win
5–4
56%
Citi Field grants the Mets a slight home advantage in a tightly contested interleague matchup, with New York's bullpen edging out Baltimore late.
04
Grok 4.7
New York Mets win
5–4
55%
2026 form is unavailable; Mets get a modest Citi Field edge. Mixed 2025 H2H (Orioles took two of three) points to a one-run home win.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
New York Mets win
5–4
55%
Orioles took three of last five, but Mets' home edge and recent one-run win in the series suggest a tight contest; lean Mets in a 5-4 game.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Baltimore Orioles win
4–5
52%
Orioles won 3 of last 5 H2H meetings including both 2025 matchups; limited 2026 form data keeps confidence moderate despite Baltimore's recent edge.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Baltimore Orioles win
5–6
60%
Orioles won last two meetings; home edge for Mets keeps margin tight.
08
Kimi K3
Baltimore Orioles win
4–5
55%
Baltimore won three of the last five meetings, including two 2025 wins at New York; with thin current form data, lean Orioles in a tight, moderate-scoring game.
09
GLM 5.3
New York Mets win
5–4
53%
Thin 2026 form data, so moderate confidence. Orioles took 3 of 5 recent H2H, but Mets' home edge in Queens and typical low-margin interleague games justify a narrow 5-4 home win.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
New York Mets win
5–3
60%
Home venue edge and mixed H2H results with close games; Mets slightly favored in this matchup.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

5 of 10 models settled on 5–4. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 5–4
    5 models
  • 4–5
    2 models
  • 4–3
    1 model
  • 5–6
    1 model
  • 5–3
    1 model
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors New York Mets

70% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before first pitch.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 52% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected runs tilt 4.70 vs 4.20

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles in MLB? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (5 - 4; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before first pitch.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is New York Mets win, with vote shares roughly 70% / 30% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.