Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Likely yes — Vučić is his party’s designated candidate, and reporting indicates parliament is expected to elect him if the governing party wins the October 25 election. The main uncertainty is whether his party secures enough seats or coalition support, or whether political developments produce another nominee before formal swearing-in.

Likely yes — Vučić resigned the presidency specifically to pursue the PM role, his party formally nominated him, and SNS is widely expected to secure a majority or lead a coalition in the Oct 25 election, after which parliament would elect him per AP reporting. Main risk: market closes the same day as the election, so formal election/swearing-in by parliament may not be completed by close, or SNS could underperform/coalition talks could delay or replace him as the actual PM pick.

Likely yes — Vučić has already resigned the presidency to lead his party's parliamentary ticket, and the ruling SNS retains dominant political control and electoral advantages in Serbia. Barring an unprecedented opposition victory or sudden post-election coalition deadlock, parliament is poised to confirm him after the October 2026 election. The main risk to this outcome is an unexpected electoral upset by an opposition coalition or health/political crises preventing his swearing-in.

Likely yes — Vučić is his party’s nominated candidate after resigning the presidency, and SNS has long dominated Serbian elections; a majority or workable coalition would almost certainly see parliament elect and swear him in as PM. Main risk is an opposition surge or hung parliament that blocks his nomination before the June 2028 cutoff.

Likely yes — Vučić resigned the presidency specifically to become PM, and his party is expected to win the October 25 parliamentary election, after which parliament would elect him. His dominance over Serbian politics and the party's parliamentary majority make this the most probable path. The main risk is an unexpected election outcome or coalition complication that prevents his formal election and swearing-in.

Likely yes — Vučić's SNS party has dominated Serbian elections for over a decade, and he resigned the presidency specifically to pursue the PM role, signaling strong confidence in winning. The party controls state institutions and media, making an electoral loss unlikely. The main risk is that growing opposition movements and protests could produce a surprise result or complicate government formation.

Likely yes — Vučić's party leads polls and his resignation as president signals a strategic move to secure the PM role. The main risk is an unexpected coalition or legal hurdle preventing his swearing-in.

Likely yes — Vučić resigned the presidency specifically to become PM, his party formally nominated him, and AP reports parliament is expected to elect him if his party wins a majority in the October 25 election. His party has dominated Serbian politics for over a decade, making a majority win plausible though not guaranteed. The main risks are his party failing to win a majority, coalition complications, or a surprise opposition victory.

Likely yes — Vučić resigned the presidency specifically to become PM, his party formally nominated him, and polls have long favored his SNS-led bloc in the Oct 25 election. Risks: an upset election result, coalition failure, or him failing to secure Assembly election/swearing-in by June 2028.

Likely yes — Vučić is the candidate of the dominant ruling party, which is widely expected to win the October 25 election, and AP reports indicate parliament would elect him PM if they secure a majority. His resignation from the presidency to pursue this role signals high commitment and party backing. The main risk is an unexpected election upset or a prolonged coalition deadlock that delays or prevents his formal swearing-in before the 2028 deadline.