GPT-5.6 Luna
58% yes
Likely yes — Ti West’s track record and the film’s holiday fantasy premise give it a reasonable chance of clearing a Tomatometer score above 70 once critics review it. However, the movie has not been released and has zero reviews, so an uneven genre reception, delayed release, or limited review sample could leave it at 70 or below.
Claude Sonnet 5
35% yes
Probably not — Ti West films tend to be divisive and mid-budget holiday fantasy/comedy adaptations often score mixed reviews, making a score above 70 uncertain; West's horror work (X, Pearl) scored well but this genre departure is less predictable. Main uncertainty: West's strong critical reputation could push it into Fresh territory if critics respond well to the unconventional take.
Gemini 3.8 Flash
58% yes
Likely yes — director Ti West has maintained strong critical reception across his recent feature films, making a score over 70 plausible even outside his traditional horror focus. However, holiday genre comedies often face sharper critical scrutiny and mixed reactions, which could easily drag the Tomatometer score into the 60s or lower.
Grok 4.6
62% yes
Likely yes — Ti West’s recent films (X 95%, Pearl 92%, MaXXXine 72%) have almost all cleared 70, and a prestige-adjacent Christmas Carol riff should draw enough early critic coverage by the Monday check. The main risk is a genre mismatch or thin review volume leaving no Tomatometer (or a sub-70 average) on Nov 16.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
32% yes
Probably not — Ti West’s genre-horror background suggests a stylized, divisive holiday film that critics may find uneven. The movie has no reviews yet, and early November releases often get mixed critical receptions. Main risk: if it lands as a surprisingly charming crowd-pleaser, a score above 70 is possible.
Qwen 3.8 Max
62% yes
Likely yes — Ti West has a strong critical track record (X at 96%, Pearl at 93%, MaXXXine at 73%), and his recent work has consistently landed above 70%. However, this is a genre shift to holiday fantasy/comedy/drama, which introduces some uncertainty as critics can be less favorable toward holiday films. The main risk is that the tonal departure from horror could result in a more mixed critical reception.
Mistral Medium 3.5
35% yes
Probably not — Ti West's films often skew cult or divisive, and holiday comedies rarely hit 70+ on Rotten Tomatoes. A weak early Popcornmeter (38%) hints at mixed audience reception, which could drag the critic score down. A surprise wave of glowing early reviews could prove this wrong.
Kimi K3
55% yes
Likely yes — Ti West has a strong critical track record (X, Pearl, MaXXXine all scored well above 70%), and a holiday fantasy/comedy from him should play decently with critics. That said, genre-blending holiday films can be divisive, and there's no review data yet since the film releases Nov. 13, just three days before the check. The main risk is that critics find it uneven or overly sentimental, pushing it into the 50-65% range.
GLM 5.3
38% yes
Probably not — Ti West's films have scored well (Pearl 92%, X 75%, MaXXXine 71%), but a broad holiday comedy retelling of A Christmas Carol tends to land in the 50s–60s on the Tomatometer, and the >70 bar is strict. A genre-hybrid from a well-regarded director could surprise, though; strong reviews at the Nov. 13 opening would be the main way this resolves YES.
MiMo V2.5 Pro
32% yes
Probably not — Ti West's films are typically divisive genre pieces (X, Pearl, MaXXXine) that rarely clear 70% on RT, and this holiday fantasy/comedy/drama is an unusual swing for him. With zero reviews so far and a wide release only days before the check date, the score is unknown, but base rates for this director and genre put it below the threshold more often than not. I could be wrong if the film turns out to be a crowd-pleasing departure that critics embrace.
News the AIs read (Oct 15)
- **Ebenezer (2026)** is scheduled to open in theaters on **Nov. 13, 2026** in the U.S., with Rotten Tomatoes listing it as “Coming Soon” and showing **0 reviews** / **0% Tomatometer** as of **Oct. 15, 2026**.
- Rotten Tomatoes also has a separate older entry for **“Ebenezer”** showing **0 reviews** and a **38% Popcornmeter**, but that page does not show a current critic score for the 2026 release.
- The film’s listed U.S. theatrical release date on Rotten Tomatoes is **Nov. 13, 2026**.
- The project is directed by **Ti West** and described as a holiday fantasy/comedy/drama on Rotten Tomatoes.
- Other release listings also point to a **Nov. 13, 2026** theatrical debut, consistent with the Rotten Tomatoes page.
- No confirmed critic score above or below the threshold is available yet because the movie has **not been released** and currently has **0 reviews** on Rotten Tomatoes.
- If a score is being tracked for the market, the relevant public check date is **Nov. 16, 2026** at **10:00 AM ET**; until then, the current confirmed fact is simply that the score is not yet established.
- No injuries, rankings, or table position apply to this film question.
Resolution rules
If Ebenezer has a Tomatometer score of above 70 on Nov 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
The "Fresh!" and "Certified Fresh!" subtitles are meant for illustrative purposes only. The Tomatometer score must be above the strike value to resolve as YES (for example, a score of 75 would resolve "Above 75" as No.) The market will be determined the Monday after wide release at 10:00 AM ET.
This market and these products have not been endorsed by Rotten Tomatoes. Any references to Rotten Tomatoes or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Rotten Tomatoes and Kalshi.
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